Wrzodziejące zapalenie przełyku barretta
Rokowania, prognozy i postęp choroby

Wrzodziejące zapalenie przełyku Barretta (Barrett’s esophagus, BE) jest kluczowym czynnikiem ryzyka rozwoju gruczolakoraka przełyku (EAC), charakteryzującego się niskim 5-letnim wskaźnikiem przeżycia na poziomie 10-20%. Roczne ryzyko progresji BE do EAC wynosi 0,1-2%, z różnicowaniem w zależności od stopnia dysplazji: brak dysplazji (NDBE) 0,1-0,5%, dysplazja małego stopnia (LGD) 0,6-13,4%, a dysplazja dużego stopnia (HGD) 16-50% w ciągu 5-7 lat. Stopień dysplazji pozostaje podstawowym biomarkerem klinicznym, jednak jego ocena cechuje się wysoką zmiennością między obserwatorami, co wymaga potwierdzenia diagnozy przez doświadczonych patologów. Nowoczesne podejścia prognostyczne obejmują biomarkery molekularne, takie jak aberracyjna ekspresja p53 (OR 6,1-8,6), p16 (RR 10,8), cyklina A (OR 1,9), mikroRNA oraz SOX2, które poprawiają stratyfikację ryzyka progresji do HGD/EAC. Kluczową rolę odgrywa także inaktywacja TP53 i związane z nią zmiany genetyczne, wykrywalne nawet 6 lat przed rozpoznaniem raka.

Wprowadzenie do prognozowania wrzodziejącego zapalenia przełyku Barretta

Wrzodziejące zapalenie przełyku Barretta (Barrett’s esophagus) stanowi najsilniejszy czynnik ryzyka rozwoju gruczolakoraka przełyku (EAC), nowotworu złośliwego charakteryzującego się niekorzystnym długoterminowym rokowaniem. Pięcioletni wskaźnik przeżycia pacjentów z EAC wynosi zaledwie 10-20%, co sprawia, że wczesne wykrycie i leczenie zmian prekursorowych ma kluczowe znaczenie dla poprawy rokowania.1234

Pomimo że wrzodziejące zapalenie przełyku Barretta jest istotnym czynnikiem predykcyjnym rozwoju EAC, szacowane ryzyko progresji wynosi jedynie 0,1-2% rocznie, co oznacza, że około 5% pacjentów z przełykiem Barretta rozwinie raka przełyku w ciągu swojego życia.567 Ta stosunkowo niska częstość progresji utrudnia identyfikację pacjentów wymagających intensywnego nadzoru i wczesnej interwencji, co podkreśla potrzebę opracowania skutecznych narzędzi prognostycznych.8

Aktualne metody oceny ryzyka progresji

Dysplazja jako główny wskaźnik prognostyczny

Obecnie stopień dysplazji pozostaje podstawowym i najszerzej stosowanym biomarkerem klinicznym wykorzystywanym do oceny ryzyka w nadzorze i leczeniu pacjentów z przełykiem Barretta.9 Obecny paradygmat postępowania opiera się na założeniu, że progresja do EAC następuje w uporządkowany sposób: od braku dysplazji, przez dysplazję małego stopnia (LGD), dysplazję dużego stopnia (HGD), aż do rozwoju raka.1011

Wskaźniki progresji różnią się znacząco w zależności od stopnia dysplazji:

  • Przełyk Barretta bez dysplazji (NDBE): roczne ryzyko raka wynosi 0,1-0,5%1213
  • Dysplazja małego stopnia (LGD): roczne ryzyko progresji wynosi 0,6-13,4%1415
  • Dysplazja dużego stopnia (HGD): znacznie wyższe ryzyko progresji do EAC, wynoszące od 16% w ciągu 7 lat do ponad 50% w ciągu 5 lat1617

Ograniczenia oceny dysplazji

Mimo powszechnego wykorzystania, stopień dysplazji jako biomarker ma istotne ograniczenia, w tym wysoką zmienność w ocenie między obserwatorami. Amerykańskie Kolegium Gastroenterologów (ACG) oraz Amerykańskie Towarzystwo Gastroenterologiczne (AGA) zdecydowanie zalecają, aby wszystkie przypadki potencjalnej dysplazji były potwierdzane przez co najmniej jednego doświadczonego patologa z zakresu gastroenterologii przed wdrożeniem planu leczenia.18

Co więcej, badania wykazały, że aktualne protokoły nadzoru mogą nie być skuteczne w zmniejszaniu śmiertelności z powodu EAC, przy czym jedno z badań wykazało, że pacjenci ze śmiertelnym przebiegiem choroby niemal równie często byli poddawani nadzorowi (55%) jak kontrole (60%).19

Biomarkery w prognozowaniu progresji przełyku Barretta

Biomarkery molekularne

Identyfikacja biomarkerów molekularnych stanowi obiecujące podejście do poprawy prognozowania ryzyka progresji u pacjentów z przełykiem Barretta. Najważniejsze biomarkery to:

  • p53 – aberracyjna ekspresja p53 jest istotnie związana ze zwiększonym ryzykiem progresji do HGD/EAC. Jedno z kluczowych badań potwierdziło p53 jako istotny klinicznie predyktor progresji neoplastycznej przełyku Barretta, wykazując, że ogólny współczynnik szans (OR) dla intensywnej nadekspresji p53 w NDBE i LGD wynosi odpowiednio 6,1 i 8,6.2021
  • p16 – aberracyjna ekspresja p16 jest istotnie związana z histologią LGD, HGD i EAC, z ryzykiem względnym (RR) wynoszącym 10,8, czułością 90% i swoistością 87%.22
  • Cyklina A – uznawana za wiarygodny biomarker predykcyjny progresji neoplastycznej, z ogólnym współczynnikiem szans (OR) dla przewidywania progresji neoplastycznej u pacjentów z BE szacowanym na 1,9.23
  • MikroRNA – podczas złośliwej transformacji przełyku Barretta ekspresja mikroRNA ulega regulacji w górę lub w dół. Regulacja w górę dotyczy głównie mikroRNA-205, 203, 133-a, 21, 25 i 223, podczas gdy regulacja w dół dotyczy głównie mikroRNA-375. Te markery, wraz z mikroRNA 100, 145, 148, 149, 199a-5p, 29c-3p, 27b, 126 i 143, zaproponowano jako potencjalnie użyteczne biomarkery prognostyczne.24
  • SOX2 – zaobserwowano, że podłużna ewolucja aberracyjnej ekspresji SOX2 (HR 1,43, p<0,01) jest związana ze zwiększonym ryzykiem HGD/EAC.25

Niestabilność genomowa i zmiany strukturalne

Badania wykazały, że kluczowym elementem różnicującym stabilny przełyk Barretta od tego, który postępuje do raka, jest nabycie i ekspansja populacji komórek z inaktywacją TP53, posiadających złożone warianty strukturalne i amplifikacje wysokiego poziomu, które są wykrywalne nawet sześć lat przed diagnozą raka.26

Znaczenie zmian w TP53 dla ryzyka progresji ESAD zostało dobrze udokumentowane. Badania wykazują, że ekspansja klonalna mutacji TP53 i rozwój złożonych wariacji strukturalnych są niemal wyłącznie związane z pacjentami, u których rozwija się rak przełyku.27

Aneuploidia i utrata heterozygotyczności p53 były związane ze zwiększonym ryzykiem progresji do dysplazji wysokiego stopnia i/lub EAC w jednoośrodkowych prospektywnych badaniach kohortowych.2829

Modele predykcyjne do stratyfikacji ryzyka przełyku Barretta

Trójstopniowy model stratyfikacji ryzyka

Opracowano trójstopniowy model stratyfikacji ryzyka oparty na systematycznie wybranych parametrach epigenetycznych i klinicznych w celu poprawy efektywności nadzoru nad przełykiem Barretta.30 Model ten dzieli pacjentów na trzy grupy ryzyka:

  • Grupa wysokiego ryzyka (HR)
  • Grupa pośredniego ryzyka (IR)
  • Grupa niskiego ryzyka (LR)

Przeżycie wolne od progresji różniło się znacząco między tymi trzema grupami ryzyka, z p=0,0022 (HR vs. IR) i p<0,0001 (HR lub IR vs. LR).31

Dwuletnie wskaźniki przeżycia wolnego od progresji dla grup HR, IR i LR wynosiły odpowiednio 45%, 88,5% i 97,8%. Czteroletnie wskaźniki przeżycia wolnego od progresji wynosiły odpowiednio 35%, 63,5% i 93,5%.32

Dynamiczne modele oceny ryzyka

Obecnie stosowana strategia nadzoru u pacjentów z przełykiem Barretta wykorzystuje tylko wyniki histologiczne z ostatniej endoskopii do oceny ryzyka progresji neoplastycznej. Badania sugerują jednak, że podłużna ewolucja biomarkerów immunohistochemicznych, a w mniejszym stopniu diagnozy histologicznej, ma dużą wartość w stratyfikacji ryzyka w celu przewidywania progresji przełyku Barretta.3334

Modele dynamiczne umożliwiają aktualizację oszacowania ryzyka przy każdej endoskopii kontrolnej, gdy uwzględniane są nowe pomiary biomarkerów. Ta zmiana paradygmatu z obecnie zalecanych stałych interwałów w kierunku spersonalizowanego nadzoru pozwala na dostosowane oszacowania ryzyka i odpowiadające im interwały nadzoru, które mogą być aktualizowane przy każdej endoskopii dla indywidualnych pacjentów z BE.35

TissueCypher Assay

TissueCypher to test oparty na sztucznej inteligencji, będący narzędziem medycyny precyzyjnej do przewidywania ryzyka progresji z przełyku Barretta do raka. Test ten może identyfikować pacjentów, którzy nie wykazują oznak dysplazji, ale są narażeni na wysokie ryzyko progresji do raka w przyszłości.3637

Badania wykazały, że TissueCypher zidentyfikował podgrupę pacjentów wysokiego ryzyka z 9,4-krotnie zwiększonym ryzykiem progresji do dysplazji wysokiego stopnia lub raka przełyku w ciągu 5 lat.38 Gdy test TissueCypher klasyfikuje pacjenta jako wysokie ryzyko, typowo dodatnia wartość predykcyjna to roczny wskaźnik progresji powyżej 5-6%.39

Celem TissueCypher jest ocena próbek od pacjentów z przełykiem Barretta zdiagnozowanych jako negatywne pod względem dysplazji, nieokreślone (IND) lub LGD w rutynowej ocenie histologicznej, aby zidentyfikować tych pacjentów, którzy najprawdopodobniej będą postępować do HGD/EAC, dzięki czemu można im zaoferować zintensyfikowane badania przesiewowe lub ablację.40

Czynniki kliniczne i demograficzne wpływające na prognozę

Oprócz biomarkerów molekularnych, istnieją również czynniki kliniczne i demograficzne związane z umiarkowanie zwiększonym ryzykiem progresji do EAC:41

  • Wiek – starszy wiek jest związany ze zwiększonym ryzykiem progresji
  • Płeć męska – mężczyźni mają wyższe ryzyko progresji niż kobiety
  • Długość segmentu BE – dłuższy segment przełyku Barretta wiąże się z wyższym ryzykiem progresji
  • Otyłość brzuszna – jest czynnikiem ryzyka rozwoju przełyku Barretta i jego progresji42
  • Palenie papierosów – jest związane ze zwiększonym ryzykiem rozwoju i progresji przełyku Barretta43
  • GERD (refluks żołądkowo-przełykowy) – długotrwały GERD (≥5 lat) i częste objawy refluksu (cotygodniowe lub częstsze) są czynnikami ryzyka4445

Opracowano model predykcyjny oparty na GERD, wieku, otyłości brzusznej i paleniu papierosów, który dokładniej klasyfikuje obecność przełyku Barretta niż model oparty wyłącznie na GERD. Ten model wykazał indeks poprawy netto reklasyfikacji (NRI) ~20% dla klasyfikacji prawdopodobieństwa przełyku Barretta w porównaniu z modelem opartym wyłącznie na częstości i czasie trwania objawów GERD.46

Przyszłość prognozowania i nadzoru przełyku Barretta

Potrzeba kompleksowego podejścia

Opracowanie kompleksowego wskaźnika progresji ryzyka przełyku Barretta, składającego się zarówno ze zmiennych klinicznych, jak i biomarkerów, powinno być ostatecznym celem, który można osiągnąć poprzez wieloośrodkowe prospektywne wysiłki współpracy.47 Takie podejście ma potencjał poprawy wyników i uczynienia zarządzania pacjentami z przełykiem Barretta bardziej opłacalnym.48

Identyfikacja czynników przewidujących progresję do EAC pomogłaby skoncentrować nadzór, chemioprewencję lub ablację na tych pacjentach, którzy są uznawani za najbardziej zagrożonych progresją.49 Obecnie nadzór wszystkich pacjentów z przełykiem Barretta pozostaje drogie i nie jest opłacalnym rozwiązaniem.50

Nowe technologie i podejścia

Ocena uczenia maszynowego (ML) stanowi obiecujące podejście, ponieważ umożliwia bezpośrednią korelację z morfologią i zapewnia obiektywny ilościowy pomiar obecności i stopnia zmian molekularnych związanych z rozwojem dysplazji i EAC, eliminując zmienność między obserwatorami.51

Brytyjskie Towarzystwo Gastroenterologiczne zaleca ocenę TP53 przy użyciu immunohistochemii (IHC) w celu rozwiązania problemu niejednoznacznych histologicznie diagnoz dysplazji, refleksyjnie dodając to do rutynowej praktyki.52

Zalecenia dotyczące nadzoru i leczenia

Obecne wytyczne zalecają, aby pacjenci ze zdiagnozowanym przełykiem Barretta bez dysplazji byli poddawani endoskopii co 3-5 lat.53 Jednak prawie 90% przypadków gruczolakoraka przełyku jest diagnozowanych u pacjentów, o których nie wiadomo, że mają przełyk Barretta, co pokazuje, że obecne wytyczne dotyczące badań przesiewowych wciąż pomijają dużą liczbę pacjentów z grupy ryzyka.54

Wykrycie i leczenie dysplastycznego przełyku Barretta jest niezwykle skutecznym sposobem zapobiegania gruczolakorakowi przełyku. Jednak leczenie tylko pacjentów z dysplastycznym przełykiem Barretta może skutkować pominięciem pacjentów, którzy szybko postępują do raka. W rzeczywistości 50% pacjentów z przełykiem Barretta, którzy rozwijają raka, początkowo było leczonych tak, jakby byli niskiego ryzyka, ponieważ w momencie diagnozy nie wykryto dysplazji.55

Dla pacjentów, u których rozwinęła się dysplazja wysokiego stopnia, zaleca się leczenie endoskopowe, zwykle w postaci ablacji falami radiowymi (RFA) z lub bez endoskopowej resekcji śluzówki (EMR), ze względu na jej częstsze powiązanie z EAC w porównaniu z LGD.56

W przypadku wczesnego gruczolakoraka przełyku i ryzyka przerzutów do węzłów chłonnych, najlepszym leczeniem jest resekcja chirurgiczna, która umożliwia wycięcie węzłów chłonnych. Jednak wielu pacjentów w wieku powyżej 65 lat lub tych ze znaczącymi chorobami współistniejącymi może nie kwalifikować się do operacji. U tych pacjentów można rozważyć resekcję endoskopową z adiuwantową chemioterapią lub radioterapią.57

Podsumowanie i perspektywy

Przełyk Barretta pozostaje najważniejszym czynnikiem ryzyka rozwoju gruczolakoraka przełyku, ale tylko niewielki odsetek pacjentów z tą chorobą postępuje do raka. Obecnie stopień dysplazji pozostaje najczęściej stosowanym biomarkerem klinicznym do oceny ryzyka, pomimo jego ograniczeń.58

Obiecujące wyniki badań nad biomarkerami molekularnymi, modelami predykcyjnymi i nowymi technologiami dają nadzieję na opracowanie dokładniejszych i bardziej opłacalnych strategii nadzoru. Trwające badania nad biomarkerami, takimi jak p53, p16, mikroRNA i modelami opartymi na uczeniu maszynowym, mają potencjał do znacznej poprawy naszej zdolności do przewidywania, które przypadki przełyku Barretta postąpią do raka.5960

Ostatecznym celem jest wykorzystanie tych biomarkerów jako ważnych narzędzi dla klinicystów do dokonania dokładnej diagnozy przełyku Barretta, wczesnej diagnozy i eliminacji neoplazji związanej z przełykiem Barretta oraz stratyfikacji ryzyka zmian, aby mogły one skorzystać z intensywnego nadzoru i profilaktycznego leczenia.61

Jeśli usunie się zmienioną tkankę i zatrzyma czynnik uszkadzający przełyk, przełyk Barretta może zostać wyleczony. Jednak może on powrócić. Ogólnie rzecz biorąc, rokowanie jest lepsze, im wcześniej zostanie podjęte leczenie. Można zapobiec i nawet usunąć zmiany nowotworowe, jeśli zostaną wykryte wystarczająco wcześnie.62

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  1. 10.04.2026
  2. www.leksykon.com.pl

Materiały źródłowe

  • #1 Predictors of Progression in Barrett’s Esophagus: Current Knowledge and Future Directions
    https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC3408387/
    Barretts esophagus is the strongest risk for esophageal adenocarcinoma (EAC), a malignancy with persistently poor long-term outcomes. […] Identification of factors predicting progression to EAC would help in focusing surveillance, chemoprevention or ablation at those deemed to be at highest risk of progression. […] Clinical and demographic factors (age, male gender, length of BE segment) are associated with modestly increased odds of progression to EAC in some studies. […] Biomarkers such as aneuploidy and p53 loss of heterozygosity have been associated with increased risk of progression to high-grade dysplasia and / or EAC in single center prospective cohort studies. […] Development of a comprehensive BE risk progression score comprised of both clinical and biomarker variables should be the ultimate goal and can be achieved by multicenter prospective collaborative efforts.
  • #2 Diagnostic and predictive biomarkers for Barrett’s esophagus: a narrative review – Di – Digestive Medicine Research
    https://dmr.amegroups.org/article/view/7106/html
    Barretts esophagus (BE) is widely recognized as the precursor lesion for esophageal adenocarcinoma (EAC). The importance of EAC lies in its 6-fold rising incidence over the past 40 years, and its dismal prognosis with the 5-year survival estimated to be only 10-15%. Because of the poor prognosis of EAC, its mainstay of management remains early detection and treatment of its precursor lesions, namely BE and its associated dysplasia. […] Although BE is the most important risk factor for the development of EAC, the estimated risk of progression from BE to EAC is only 0.1-2% per annum. As it is not possible clinically to predict which BE will progress to neoplasia, and which will not progress to neoplasm, it may be prudent for clinicians to rely upon biomarkers to select those who are at risk for more intensive surveillance and if warranted pre-emptive treatment.
  • #3 Understanding Barrett’s Esophagus Diagnosis and Cancer Risk
    https://castlebiosciences.com/patient-information/gastroenterology/barretts-esophagus/overview
    Barretts esophagus is considered a precancerous condition, because it can progress into esophageal adenocarcinoma, commonly known as esophageal cancer. […] An estimated 5% of people with Barretts esophagus will develop esophageal cancer over the course of their lifetime. While the chances of Barrett’s esophagus becoming cancer are relatively low, the consequences of developing esophageal cancer are very high. The cancer is highly lethal after symptom onset, with less than 20% of patients surviving beyond five years. […] Barretts esophagus is the only known precursor to esophageal adenocarcinoma, and unlike esophageal cancer, Barrett’s esophagus is highly curable and treatment is minimally invasive. […] Because of this, the primary method of preventing esophageal adenocarcinoma is screening for Barretts esophagus and treating precancerous tissue before it can progress to cancer.
  • #4 Esophageal adenocarcinoma: A dire need for early detection and treatment | Cleveland Clinic Journal of Medicine
    https://www.ccjm.org/content/89/5/269
    Esophageal adenocarcinoma has a favorable prognosis if diagnosed early, when it is isolated to the mucosal and submucosal layers of the esophagus. Unfortunately, most cases are diagnosed at a late stage, when the prognosis is dismal. The 5-year overall survival rate of patients with esophageal adenocarcinoma is less than 20%, comparable to that of patients who have liver, lung, or pancreas cancer. Thus, there is a dire need for effective screening strategies to diagnose it earlier. […] In a prospective study, when patients with Barrett esophagus underwent endoscopic surveillance, the cases of esophageal cancer that arose were diagnosed at an earlier stage than in the general population. However, studies have failed to identify an accurate, cost-effective, widely applicable tool that can lower the mortality rate.
  • #5 Diagnostic and predictive biomarkers for Barrett’s esophagus: a narrative review – Di – Digestive Medicine Research
    https://dmr.amegroups.org/article/view/7106/html
    Barretts esophagus (BE) is widely recognized as the precursor lesion for esophageal adenocarcinoma (EAC). The importance of EAC lies in its 6-fold rising incidence over the past 40 years, and its dismal prognosis with the 5-year survival estimated to be only 10-15%. Because of the poor prognosis of EAC, its mainstay of management remains early detection and treatment of its precursor lesions, namely BE and its associated dysplasia. […] Although BE is the most important risk factor for the development of EAC, the estimated risk of progression from BE to EAC is only 0.1-2% per annum. As it is not possible clinically to predict which BE will progress to neoplasia, and which will not progress to neoplasm, it may be prudent for clinicians to rely upon biomarkers to select those who are at risk for more intensive surveillance and if warranted pre-emptive treatment.
  • #6 Understanding Barrett’s Esophagus Diagnosis and Cancer Risk
    https://castlebiosciences.com/patient-information/gastroenterology/barretts-esophagus/overview
    Barretts esophagus is considered a precancerous condition, because it can progress into esophageal adenocarcinoma, commonly known as esophageal cancer. […] An estimated 5% of people with Barretts esophagus will develop esophageal cancer over the course of their lifetime. While the chances of Barrett’s esophagus becoming cancer are relatively low, the consequences of developing esophageal cancer are very high. The cancer is highly lethal after symptom onset, with less than 20% of patients surviving beyond five years. […] Barretts esophagus is the only known precursor to esophageal adenocarcinoma, and unlike esophageal cancer, Barrett’s esophagus is highly curable and treatment is minimally invasive. […] Because of this, the primary method of preventing esophageal adenocarcinoma is screening for Barretts esophagus and treating precancerous tissue before it can progress to cancer.
  • #7 Barrett’s Esophagus: Symptoms, Causes, Treatments & Medications
    https://my.clevelandclinic.org/health/diseases/14432-barretts-esophagus
    Because of the small chance it might progress to esophageal cancer, healthcare providers like to keep an eye on Barretts esophagus. But the risk is only about half a percent per year. […] If you remove the affected tissue and stop whatever was injuring your esophagus, Barretts esophagus may be cured. But it can return. […] In general, your prognosis (outlook) is better the sooner you seek treatment. You can prevent and even remove cancerous changes if you catch them early enough.
  • #8 Predictors of Progression in Barrett’s Esophagus: Current Knowledge and Future Directions
    https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC3408387/
    Though challenging, creation of such a score has the potential to improve outcomes and make the management of patients with BE more cost effective. […] The long-term survival of patients with EAC who present with symptoms remains dismal. […] This evidence from retrospective studies found that patients diagnosed with EAC in BE surveillance programs may have better survival than those diagnosed after the onset of symptoms has led to recommendations for the endoscopic surveillance of patients diagnosed with BE to detect progression to dysplasia and / or EAC. […] The potentially large number of patients with BE, which makes the estimate of subjects requiring surveillance run into millions in the United States, is one of many barriers to efficient and effective surveillance. […] Despite multiple limitations, the grade of dysplasia remains the most widely used tool to assess the risk of progression in BE.
  • #9 Utility of ancillary studies in the diagnosis and risk assessment of Barrett’s esophagus and dysplasia | Modern Pathology
    https://www.nature.com/articles/s41379-022-01056-0
    Currently, dysplasia is the primary clinical biomarker used for risk assessment in the surveillance and management of BE patients. […] The rationale for its use as the primary clinical biomarker is based on the premise that EAC in BE patients develops through a sequence of molecular and morphologic changes that begin with intestinal metaplasia and then progress from LGD to HGD, and ultimately to EAC. […] While the annual cancer risk for NDBE patients is low (0.10.5% per year), HGD is considered a key premalignant step that is associated with a greater risk of either already having EAC or developing it on follow-up (16100%). […] The natural history of LGD is more controversial, with variable progression rates ranging from 0.4 to 13.4% per year. […] Unfortunately, dysplasia has a number of limitations as a biomarker.
  • #10 Predictors of Progression in Barrett’s Esophagus: Current Knowledge and Future Directions
    https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC3408387/
    However, surveillance of all patients with BE remains an expensive and not a cost-effective proposition. […] Assessment of the current knowledge gaps would be of crucial importance in devising a future road map for the development of a practical, cost-effective and widely applicable tool for the risk stratification of patients with BE. […] The grade of dysplasia continues to be the bedrock of risk stratification in patients with BE. […] The currently accepted paradigm attempts to correlate the risk of progression to the grade of dysplasia based on circumstantial evidence that progression occurs in an orderly fashion from no dysplasia to LGD to HGD followed by EAC. […] The reported rate of progression to EAC in patients with LGD has varied from 0.61.2% per year. […] A recent meta-analysis reported that the rate of progression to EAC in LGD was 16.98/1,000 person-years compared with 5.98/1,000 person-years in subjects with no dysplasia, but there was significant heterogeneity between the studies.
  • #11 Utility of ancillary studies in the diagnosis and risk assessment of Barrett’s esophagus and dysplasia | Modern Pathology
    https://www.nature.com/articles/s41379-022-01056-0
    Currently, dysplasia is the primary clinical biomarker used for risk assessment in the surveillance and management of BE patients. […] The rationale for its use as the primary clinical biomarker is based on the premise that EAC in BE patients develops through a sequence of molecular and morphologic changes that begin with intestinal metaplasia and then progress from LGD to HGD, and ultimately to EAC. […] While the annual cancer risk for NDBE patients is low (0.10.5% per year), HGD is considered a key premalignant step that is associated with a greater risk of either already having EAC or developing it on follow-up (16100%). […] The natural history of LGD is more controversial, with variable progression rates ranging from 0.4 to 13.4% per year. […] Unfortunately, dysplasia has a number of limitations as a biomarker.
  • #12 Utility of ancillary studies in the diagnosis and risk assessment of Barrett’s esophagus and dysplasia | Modern Pathology
    https://www.nature.com/articles/s41379-022-01056-0
    Subsequently, there is greater emphasis on optimization of the diagnosis of dysplasia as well as identification of patients who are more likely to progress to HGD/EAC and/or have a poor response to endoscopic therapy. […] However, considering the annual cancer risk for patients with non-dysplastic BE (NDBE) is low (0.10.5% per year), identification of reliable biomarkers of low risk to allow prolongation of surveillance intervals compared with the current recommendations of repeating endoscopy every 35 years in those with NDBE remains an important goal of biomarker research. […] In fact, there is evidence that the current surveillance protocols may not be effective in reducing mortality from EAC, with one study demonstrating that patients with fatal disease were nearly as likely to have received surveillance (55%) as were controls (60%).
  • #13 Utility of ancillary studies in the diagnosis and risk assessment of Barrett’s esophagus and dysplasia | Modern Pathology
    https://www.nature.com/articles/s41379-022-01056-0
    Currently, dysplasia is the primary clinical biomarker used for risk assessment in the surveillance and management of BE patients. […] The rationale for its use as the primary clinical biomarker is based on the premise that EAC in BE patients develops through a sequence of molecular and morphologic changes that begin with intestinal metaplasia and then progress from LGD to HGD, and ultimately to EAC. […] While the annual cancer risk for NDBE patients is low (0.10.5% per year), HGD is considered a key premalignant step that is associated with a greater risk of either already having EAC or developing it on follow-up (16100%). […] The natural history of LGD is more controversial, with variable progression rates ranging from 0.4 to 13.4% per year. […] Unfortunately, dysplasia has a number of limitations as a biomarker.
  • #14 Predictors of Progression in Barrett’s Esophagus: Current Knowledge and Future Directions
    https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC3408387/
    However, surveillance of all patients with BE remains an expensive and not a cost-effective proposition. […] Assessment of the current knowledge gaps would be of crucial importance in devising a future road map for the development of a practical, cost-effective and widely applicable tool for the risk stratification of patients with BE. […] The grade of dysplasia continues to be the bedrock of risk stratification in patients with BE. […] The currently accepted paradigm attempts to correlate the risk of progression to the grade of dysplasia based on circumstantial evidence that progression occurs in an orderly fashion from no dysplasia to LGD to HGD followed by EAC. […] The reported rate of progression to EAC in patients with LGD has varied from 0.61.2% per year. […] A recent meta-analysis reported that the rate of progression to EAC in LGD was 16.98/1,000 person-years compared with 5.98/1,000 person-years in subjects with no dysplasia, but there was significant heterogeneity between the studies.
  • #15 Utility of ancillary studies in the diagnosis and risk assessment of Barrett’s esophagus and dysplasia | Modern Pathology
    https://www.nature.com/articles/s41379-022-01056-0
    Currently, dysplasia is the primary clinical biomarker used for risk assessment in the surveillance and management of BE patients. […] The rationale for its use as the primary clinical biomarker is based on the premise that EAC in BE patients develops through a sequence of molecular and morphologic changes that begin with intestinal metaplasia and then progress from LGD to HGD, and ultimately to EAC. […] While the annual cancer risk for NDBE patients is low (0.10.5% per year), HGD is considered a key premalignant step that is associated with a greater risk of either already having EAC or developing it on follow-up (16100%). […] The natural history of LGD is more controversial, with variable progression rates ranging from 0.4 to 13.4% per year. […] Unfortunately, dysplasia has a number of limitations as a biomarker.
  • #16 Predictors of Progression in Barrett’s Esophagus: Current Knowledge and Future Directions
    https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC3408387/
    Though there is a better consensus on the rate of progression of HGD to EAC, the reported rates of progression to EAC in patients with HGD varies from 16% over 7 years to over 50% in 5 years. […] In summary, the grade of dysplasia is an imperfect but perhaps the most widely used and accepted marker for risk stratification in BE.
  • #17 Utility of ancillary studies in the diagnosis and risk assessment of Barrett’s esophagus and dysplasia | Modern Pathology
    https://www.nature.com/articles/s41379-022-01056-0
    Currently, dysplasia is the primary clinical biomarker used for risk assessment in the surveillance and management of BE patients. […] The rationale for its use as the primary clinical biomarker is based on the premise that EAC in BE patients develops through a sequence of molecular and morphologic changes that begin with intestinal metaplasia and then progress from LGD to HGD, and ultimately to EAC. […] While the annual cancer risk for NDBE patients is low (0.10.5% per year), HGD is considered a key premalignant step that is associated with a greater risk of either already having EAC or developing it on follow-up (16100%). […] The natural history of LGD is more controversial, with variable progression rates ranging from 0.4 to 13.4% per year. […] Unfortunately, dysplasia has a number of limitations as a biomarker.
  • #18 Utility of ancillary studies in the diagnosis and risk assessment of Barrett’s esophagus and dysplasia | Modern Pathology
    https://www.nature.com/articles/s41379-022-01056-0
    Consequently, both the American College of Gastroenterology and the American Gastroenterological Association strongly recommend that all potential dysplasia cases be confirmed by at least one experienced GI pathologist before embarking on a management plan. […] Overall, these results suggest that additional or alternative biomarker(s) may be useful to better risk stratify BE patients. […] The objective of TissueCypher is to evaluate samples from BE patients diagnosed as negative for dysplasia, IND, or LGD on routine histologic evaluation to identify those patients most likely to progress to HGD/EAC so that intensified screening or ablation can be offered to them. […] The biggest appeal of ML assessment is that it allows a direct correlation with morphology and provides an objective quantitative measure of the presence and extent of molecular alterations associated with development of dysplasia and EAC, eliminating human interobserver variability.
  • #19 Utility of ancillary studies in the diagnosis and risk assessment of Barrett’s esophagus and dysplasia | Modern Pathology
    https://www.nature.com/articles/s41379-022-01056-0
    Subsequently, there is greater emphasis on optimization of the diagnosis of dysplasia as well as identification of patients who are more likely to progress to HGD/EAC and/or have a poor response to endoscopic therapy. […] However, considering the annual cancer risk for patients with non-dysplastic BE (NDBE) is low (0.10.5% per year), identification of reliable biomarkers of low risk to allow prolongation of surveillance intervals compared with the current recommendations of repeating endoscopy every 35 years in those with NDBE remains an important goal of biomarker research. […] In fact, there is evidence that the current surveillance protocols may not be effective in reducing mortality from EAC, with one study demonstrating that patients with fatal disease were nearly as likely to have received surveillance (55%) as were controls (60%).
  • #20 Diagnostic and predictive biomarkers for Barrett’s esophagus: a narrative review – Di – Digestive Medicine Research
    https://dmr.amegroups.org/article/view/7106/html
    One seminal study confirmed p53 as a clinically pertinent predictor of neoplastic progression of BE, showing the overall OR for intense overexpression of p53 in NDBE, and LGD to be 6.1, and 8.6, respectively. Cyclin A has also been considered as a reliable predictive biomarker for neoplastic progression. Its overall OR for predicting neoplastic progression in BE patients is estimated at 1.9. […] During the malignant transformation of BE, microRNA expression appeared to be up-regulated or down-regulated. The up-regulation of miRNA expression is mainly concentrated in microRNA-205, 203, 133-a, 21, 25, and 223, while down-regulation occurs mainly in microRNA-375. These markers, together with microRNA 100, 145, 148, 149, 199a-5p, 29c-3p, 27b, 126, and 143 have been proposed as potentially useful prognostic biomarkers. In other studies, higher expression of microRNA-192, 194, 196a, and 196b are observed in BE patients with progression to EAC than those who do not progress to EAC. […] The ultimate goal is for these biomarkers to serve as important tools for clinicians to make an accurate diagnosis of BE, early diagnosis and eradication of BE-related neoplasia, and risk stratify the risk lesions so that they can benefit from intensive surveillance, and pre-emptive treatment.
  • #21 The Aberrant Expression of Biomarkers and Risk Prediction for Neoplastic Changes in Barrett’s Esophagus–Dysplasia
    https://www.mdpi.com/2072-6694/16/13/2386
    The aberrant expressions of p53 and p16 in BE-indefinite dysplasia (IND) progressor cohorts predicted the risk of progression. […] Aberrant p16 expression is significantly associated with LGD, HGD, and EAC histology with 10.8 RR, 90% sensitivity, and 87% specificity. […] The overexpression of p53 was identified in all categories of BE-associated dysplasia but the degree of aberrant expression increased with the progression of dysplasia. […] Overall, aberrant p53 expression seems to serve as a marker for the likelihood of progression to HGD/EAC. […] The findings in our study support those of previous studies. […] The aberrant expression of one or a combination of useful biomarkers with high sensitivity and specificity, such as cyclin D1, MCM2, p16, beta-catenin, Ki-67, and p53, appears to be suitable for use in a routine test in a clinical laboratory. […] The British Society of Gastroenterology recommends assessing TP53 using IHC to solve the issue of equivocal histologic diagnoses of dysplasia, reflexively adding this to routine practice.
  • #22 The Aberrant Expression of Biomarkers and Risk Prediction for Neoplastic Changes in Barrett’s Esophagus–Dysplasia
    https://www.mdpi.com/2072-6694/16/13/2386
    The aberrant expressions of p53 and p16 in BE-indefinite dysplasia (IND) progressor cohorts predicted the risk of progression. […] Aberrant p16 expression is significantly associated with LGD, HGD, and EAC histology with 10.8 RR, 90% sensitivity, and 87% specificity. […] The overexpression of p53 was identified in all categories of BE-associated dysplasia but the degree of aberrant expression increased with the progression of dysplasia. […] Overall, aberrant p53 expression seems to serve as a marker for the likelihood of progression to HGD/EAC. […] The findings in our study support those of previous studies. […] The aberrant expression of one or a combination of useful biomarkers with high sensitivity and specificity, such as cyclin D1, MCM2, p16, beta-catenin, Ki-67, and p53, appears to be suitable for use in a routine test in a clinical laboratory. […] The British Society of Gastroenterology recommends assessing TP53 using IHC to solve the issue of equivocal histologic diagnoses of dysplasia, reflexively adding this to routine practice.
  • #23 Diagnostic and predictive biomarkers for Barrett’s esophagus: a narrative review – Di – Digestive Medicine Research
    https://dmr.amegroups.org/article/view/7106/html
    One seminal study confirmed p53 as a clinically pertinent predictor of neoplastic progression of BE, showing the overall OR for intense overexpression of p53 in NDBE, and LGD to be 6.1, and 8.6, respectively. Cyclin A has also been considered as a reliable predictive biomarker for neoplastic progression. Its overall OR for predicting neoplastic progression in BE patients is estimated at 1.9. […] During the malignant transformation of BE, microRNA expression appeared to be up-regulated or down-regulated. The up-regulation of miRNA expression is mainly concentrated in microRNA-205, 203, 133-a, 21, 25, and 223, while down-regulation occurs mainly in microRNA-375. These markers, together with microRNA 100, 145, 148, 149, 199a-5p, 29c-3p, 27b, 126, and 143 have been proposed as potentially useful prognostic biomarkers. In other studies, higher expression of microRNA-192, 194, 196a, and 196b are observed in BE patients with progression to EAC than those who do not progress to EAC. […] The ultimate goal is for these biomarkers to serve as important tools for clinicians to make an accurate diagnosis of BE, early diagnosis and eradication of BE-related neoplasia, and risk stratify the risk lesions so that they can benefit from intensive surveillance, and pre-emptive treatment.
  • #24 Diagnostic and predictive biomarkers for Barrett’s esophagus: a narrative review – Di – Digestive Medicine Research
    https://dmr.amegroups.org/article/view/7106/html
    One seminal study confirmed p53 as a clinically pertinent predictor of neoplastic progression of BE, showing the overall OR for intense overexpression of p53 in NDBE, and LGD to be 6.1, and 8.6, respectively. Cyclin A has also been considered as a reliable predictive biomarker for neoplastic progression. Its overall OR for predicting neoplastic progression in BE patients is estimated at 1.9. […] During the malignant transformation of BE, microRNA expression appeared to be up-regulated or down-regulated. The up-regulation of miRNA expression is mainly concentrated in microRNA-205, 203, 133-a, 21, 25, and 223, while down-regulation occurs mainly in microRNA-375. These markers, together with microRNA 100, 145, 148, 149, 199a-5p, 29c-3p, 27b, 126, and 143 have been proposed as potentially useful prognostic biomarkers. In other studies, higher expression of microRNA-192, 194, 196a, and 196b are observed in BE patients with progression to EAC than those who do not progress to EAC. […] The ultimate goal is for these biomarkers to serve as important tools for clinicians to make an accurate diagnosis of BE, early diagnosis and eradication of BE-related neoplasia, and risk stratify the risk lesions so that they can benefit from intensive surveillance, and pre-emptive treatment.
  • #25 A personalized and dynamic risk estimation model: The new paradigm in Barrett’s esophagus surveillance | PLOS One
    https://journals.plos.org/plosone/article?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0267503
    The current surveillance strategy in Barretts esophagus (BE) uses only histological findings of the last endoscopy to assess neoplastic progression risk. […] Longitudinal evolutions of aberrant expression of p53 (HR 1.26, p0.01) and SOX2 (HR 1.43, p0.01) were associated with an increased HGD/EAC risk. […] This study provides solid ground to further explore a paradigm shift from currently recommended fixed intervals towards personalized surveillance, in which tailored risk estimations and corresponding surveillance intervals can be updated at every FU endoscopy for individual BE patients. […] The risk of neoplastic progression was estimated based on the longitudinal evolution of LGD, p53, and SOX2. […] An increased risk of developing HGD/EAC during surveillance was associated with aberrant expression of p53 (HR value 1.26, p0.01) or SOX2 (HR value 1.43, p0.01).
  • #26 Somatic whole genome dynamics of precancer in Barrett’s esophagus reveals features associated with disease progression | Nature Communications
    https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-022-29767-7
    While the genomes of normal tissues undergo dynamic changes over time, little is understood about the temporal-spatial dynamics of genomes in premalignant tissues that progress to cancer compared to those that remain cancer-free. […] The critical distinction between stable Barretts versus those who progress to cancer is acquisition and expansion of TP53/ cell populations having complex structural variants and high-level amplifications, which are detectable up to six years prior to a cancer diagnosis. […] These findings reveal the timing of common somatic genome dynamics in stable Barretts esophagus and define key genomic features specific to progression to esophageal adenocarcinoma, both of which are critical for cancer prevention and early detection strategies. […] A key remaining question is defining molecular features, including somatic genomic dynamics, that can be used to stratify patients with BE at the highest risk of a cancer outcome (CO) vs. those likely to remain cancer free (noncancer outcome, NCO), and target those requiring aggressive treatment (ablation, endoscopic resection, surgery) vs. conservative monitoring for early detection of cancer.
  • #27 Somatic whole genome dynamics of precancer in Barrett’s esophagus reveals features associated with disease progression | Nature Communications
    https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-022-29767-7
    The importance of TP53 alterations to ESAD progression risk has been well established. […] Our study design further refines our understanding, showing the clonal expansion of TP53/ clones and development of complex structural variations are almost exclusive to CO patients and ESAD samples. […] Thus, while potentially pathogenic TP53 mutations were detected in non-progressing BE, they were generally subclonal, one-hit, and localized, compared to TP53 mutations detected in BE patients who progressed to ESAD.
  • #28 Predictors of Progression in Barrett’s Esophagus: Current Knowledge and Future Directions
    https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC3408387/
    Barretts esophagus is the strongest risk for esophageal adenocarcinoma (EAC), a malignancy with persistently poor long-term outcomes. […] Identification of factors predicting progression to EAC would help in focusing surveillance, chemoprevention or ablation at those deemed to be at highest risk of progression. […] Clinical and demographic factors (age, male gender, length of BE segment) are associated with modestly increased odds of progression to EAC in some studies. […] Biomarkers such as aneuploidy and p53 loss of heterozygosity have been associated with increased risk of progression to high-grade dysplasia and / or EAC in single center prospective cohort studies. […] Development of a comprehensive BE risk progression score comprised of both clinical and biomarker variables should be the ultimate goal and can be achieved by multicenter prospective collaborative efforts.
  • #29
    https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10620-015-3884-5
    Barretts esophagus (BE) is a common and important precursor lesion of esophageal adenocarcinoma (EAC). A third of patients with BE are asymptomatic, and our ability to predict the risk of progression of metaplasia to dysplasia and EAC (and therefore guide management) is limited. […] There is therefore an immediate clinical need for biomarkers to predict both susceptibility to BE and progression. […] The robustness of the associations between CIN and progression suggests it to be of immediate clinical utility. CIN is a constituent of genomic instability, a state of erroneous progression through the cell cycle. […] However, the overall evidence base is characterized by widespread methodological issues, which limit the immediate clinical utility of these markers. Consequently, larger studies with more robust design are required to validate these markers, identify novel variants, and incorporate them into clinical practice.
  • #30 Three-Tiered Risk Stratification Model to Predict Progression in Barrett’s Esophagus Using Epigenetic and Clinical Features | PLOS One
    https://journals.plos.org/plosone/article?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0001890
    Barrett’s esophagus predisposes to esophageal adenocarcinoma. However, the value of endoscopic surveillance in Barrett’s esophagus has been debated because of the low incidence of esophageal adenocarcinoma in Barrett’s esophagus. […] In this study, we developed a 3-tiered risk stratification strategy, based on systematically selected epigenetic and clinical parameters, to improve Barrett’s esophagus surveillance efficiency. […] This 3-tiered risk stratification strategy has the potential to exert a profound impact on Barrett’s esophagus surveillance accuracy and efficiency. […] Progression-free survivals differed significantly among the 3 risk groups, with p=0.0022 (HR vs. IR) and p0.0001 (HR or IR vs. LR). […] Three Kaplan-Meier curves showed a statistically significant difference in progression-free survival among the three risk tiers defined by the combined LDA model. The LR group had the best progression-free survival, significantly better than both the IR and HR groups (p0.0001, logrank test). The HR group had the worst progression-free survival, significantly shorter than both the IR (p=0.0022, logrank test) and LR groups. The IR group had a progression risk significantly different from the other 2 groups. Thus, these 3 specimen groups classified by the combined model assigned progression risk in a meaningful manner.
  • #31 Three-Tiered Risk Stratification Model to Predict Progression in Barrett’s Esophagus Using Epigenetic and Clinical Features | PLOS One
    https://journals.plos.org/plosone/article?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0001890
    Barrett’s esophagus predisposes to esophageal adenocarcinoma. However, the value of endoscopic surveillance in Barrett’s esophagus has been debated because of the low incidence of esophageal adenocarcinoma in Barrett’s esophagus. […] In this study, we developed a 3-tiered risk stratification strategy, based on systematically selected epigenetic and clinical parameters, to improve Barrett’s esophagus surveillance efficiency. […] This 3-tiered risk stratification strategy has the potential to exert a profound impact on Barrett’s esophagus surveillance accuracy and efficiency. […] Progression-free survivals differed significantly among the 3 risk groups, with p=0.0022 (HR vs. IR) and p0.0001 (HR or IR vs. LR). […] Three Kaplan-Meier curves showed a statistically significant difference in progression-free survival among the three risk tiers defined by the combined LDA model. The LR group had the best progression-free survival, significantly better than both the IR and HR groups (p0.0001, logrank test). The HR group had the worst progression-free survival, significantly shorter than both the IR (p=0.0022, logrank test) and LR groups. The IR group had a progression risk significantly different from the other 2 groups. Thus, these 3 specimen groups classified by the combined model assigned progression risk in a meaningful manner.
  • #32 Three-Tiered Risk Stratification Model to Predict Progression in Barrett’s Esophagus Using Epigenetic and Clinical Features | PLOS One
    https://journals.plos.org/plosone/article?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0001890
    The 2-year progression-free survival rates of HR, IR, and LR were 45%, 88.5%, and 97.8%, respectively. Four-year progression-free survival rates were 35%, 63.5%, and 93.5%, respectively. Differences in progression-free survival among these 3 risk tiers were statistically significant (log-rank test). […] In conclusion, we developed a 3-tiered risk stratification strategy for neoplastic progression prediction in BE patients, based on epigenetic and clinical parameters. This strategy offers considerable promise to benefit the current BE surveillance health care system.
  • #33 A personalized and dynamic risk estimation model: The new paradigm in Barrett’s esophagus surveillance | PLOS One
    https://journals.plos.org/plosone/article?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0267503
    The current surveillance strategy in Barretts esophagus (BE) uses only histological findings of the last endoscopy to assess neoplastic progression risk. […] Longitudinal evolutions of aberrant expression of p53 (HR 1.26, p0.01) and SOX2 (HR 1.43, p0.01) were associated with an increased HGD/EAC risk. […] This study provides solid ground to further explore a paradigm shift from currently recommended fixed intervals towards personalized surveillance, in which tailored risk estimations and corresponding surveillance intervals can be updated at every FU endoscopy for individual BE patients. […] The risk of neoplastic progression was estimated based on the longitudinal evolution of LGD, p53, and SOX2. […] An increased risk of developing HGD/EAC during surveillance was associated with aberrant expression of p53 (HR value 1.26, p0.01) or SOX2 (HR value 1.43, p0.01).
  • #34 A personalized and dynamic risk estimation model: The new paradigm in Barrett’s esophagus surveillance | PLOS One
    https://journals.plos.org/plosone/article?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0267503
    The predictive performance of this dynamic model was shown to be higher than the static model. […] This interval can vary per patient, but also per endoscopy within the same patient if new biomarker measurements are included and the neoplastic progression risk is updated. […] In conclusion, longitudinal evolutions of immunohistochemical biomarkers and, to a lesser extent, histological diagnosis are of great value in risk stratification to predict Barretts progression.
  • #35 A personalized and dynamic risk estimation model: The new paradigm in Barrett’s esophagus surveillance | PLOS One
    https://journals.plos.org/plosone/article?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0267503
    The current surveillance strategy in Barretts esophagus (BE) uses only histological findings of the last endoscopy to assess neoplastic progression risk. […] Longitudinal evolutions of aberrant expression of p53 (HR 1.26, p0.01) and SOX2 (HR 1.43, p0.01) were associated with an increased HGD/EAC risk. […] This study provides solid ground to further explore a paradigm shift from currently recommended fixed intervals towards personalized surveillance, in which tailored risk estimations and corresponding surveillance intervals can be updated at every FU endoscopy for individual BE patients. […] The risk of neoplastic progression was estimated based on the longitudinal evolution of LGD, p53, and SOX2. […] An increased risk of developing HGD/EAC during surveillance was associated with aberrant expression of p53 (HR value 1.26, p0.01) or SOX2 (HR value 1.43, p0.01).
  • #36 Understanding Barrett’s Esophagus Diagnosis and Cancer Risk
    https://castlebiosciences.com/patient-information/gastroenterology/barretts-esophagus/overview
    Detecting and treating dysplastic Barretts esophagus is an extremely effective way to prevent esophageal adenocarcinoma. However, only treating patients who present with dysplastic Barretts esophagus can result in missing patients who progress to cancer rapidly. In fact, 50% of Barretts esophagus patients who develop cancer were initially treated as if they were low risk because no dysplasia was detected at diagnosis. […] TissueCypher is an artificial intelligence-driven, precision medicine test to predict the risk of progression from Barretts esophagus to cancer, which can identify patients that show no signs of dysplasia but are at high risk of progressing to cancer in the future.
  • #37 Barrett’s Esophagus: New Tool Predicts the Risk of Cancer
    https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/barretts-esophagus-new-tool-predicts-risk-cancer-pat-salber-md-mba
    Cernostic’s TissueCypher Assay uses molecular and cellular data to predict which patients with Barrett’s Esophagus are at risk of progression to esophageal cancer. […] Overall, the five-year survival rate is ~20% although cancers diagnosed early have a better prognosis. […] But less than 1% of them will develop esophageal adenocarcinoma. […] A key clinical question is which of the three to four million people living with Barrett’s in the US alone will progress to esophageal adenocarcinoma (EAC)? […] The inability to determine that risk leaves gastroenterologists and their patients without complete information to determine the most clinically and cost-effective treatment. […] Cernostics is looking to change all that with their next generation cancer diagnostics and prognostics. […] Until now, there has been no adequate way to determine the risk level of patients with Barretts esophagus.
  • #38 Barrett’s Esophagus: New Tool Predicts the Risk of Cancer
    https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/barretts-esophagus-new-tool-predicts-risk-cancer-pat-salber-md-mba
    The goal is to eliminate uncertainty related to the treatment of Barretts esophagus in patients who meet those criteria. […] The product will improve practice and treatment and its likely to be financially viable. […] The test gets all this protein expression information and its linked to specific geographies on the tumors. […] When the Assay calls a patient high risk typically the positive predictive value is that their progression rate per year is above 5% 6%. […] Weve been able to confirm through our research that our risk stratification has been accurate in identifying who goes on to develop esophageal cancer up to 7 years later and who does not. […] TissueCypher identified a high-risk subset of patients at 9.4x increased risk of progression to high-grade dysplasia or esophageal carcinoma within 5 years.
  • #39 Barrett’s Esophagus: New Tool Predicts the Risk of Cancer
    https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/barretts-esophagus-new-tool-predicts-risk-cancer-pat-salber-md-mba
    The goal is to eliminate uncertainty related to the treatment of Barretts esophagus in patients who meet those criteria. […] The product will improve practice and treatment and its likely to be financially viable. […] The test gets all this protein expression information and its linked to specific geographies on the tumors. […] When the Assay calls a patient high risk typically the positive predictive value is that their progression rate per year is above 5% 6%. […] Weve been able to confirm through our research that our risk stratification has been accurate in identifying who goes on to develop esophageal cancer up to 7 years later and who does not. […] TissueCypher identified a high-risk subset of patients at 9.4x increased risk of progression to high-grade dysplasia or esophageal carcinoma within 5 years.
  • #40 Utility of ancillary studies in the diagnosis and risk assessment of Barrett’s esophagus and dysplasia | Modern Pathology
    https://www.nature.com/articles/s41379-022-01056-0
    Consequently, both the American College of Gastroenterology and the American Gastroenterological Association strongly recommend that all potential dysplasia cases be confirmed by at least one experienced GI pathologist before embarking on a management plan. […] Overall, these results suggest that additional or alternative biomarker(s) may be useful to better risk stratify BE patients. […] The objective of TissueCypher is to evaluate samples from BE patients diagnosed as negative for dysplasia, IND, or LGD on routine histologic evaluation to identify those patients most likely to progress to HGD/EAC so that intensified screening or ablation can be offered to them. […] The biggest appeal of ML assessment is that it allows a direct correlation with morphology and provides an objective quantitative measure of the presence and extent of molecular alterations associated with development of dysplasia and EAC, eliminating human interobserver variability.
  • #41 Predictors of Progression in Barrett’s Esophagus: Current Knowledge and Future Directions
    https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC3408387/
    Barretts esophagus is the strongest risk for esophageal adenocarcinoma (EAC), a malignancy with persistently poor long-term outcomes. […] Identification of factors predicting progression to EAC would help in focusing surveillance, chemoprevention or ablation at those deemed to be at highest risk of progression. […] Clinical and demographic factors (age, male gender, length of BE segment) are associated with modestly increased odds of progression to EAC in some studies. […] Biomarkers such as aneuploidy and p53 loss of heterozygosity have been associated with increased risk of progression to high-grade dysplasia and / or EAC in single center prospective cohort studies. […] Development of a comprehensive BE risk progression score comprised of both clinical and biomarker variables should be the ultimate goal and can be achieved by multicenter prospective collaborative efforts.
  • #42 Prediction of Barrett’s Esophagus Among Men
    https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC3903120/
    Barretts esophagus was found in 70 (8.5%) of 822 CRC screenees. […] The prevalence of Barretts esophagus was substantial in our population of older overweight men. […] A model based on GERD, age, abdominal obesity, and cigarette use more accurately classified the presence of Barretts esophagus than did a model based on GERD alone. […] We created a prediction tool, which had a NRI index of ~20% for classifying the probability of Barretts esophagus compared with a model based on GERD frequency and duration alone. […] Our novel prediction tool more accurately classifies the presence of Barretts esophagus than does a model based on GERD symptom frequency and duration alone.
  • #43 Prediction of Barrett’s Esophagus Among Men
    https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC3903120/
    Barretts esophagus was found in 70 (8.5%) of 822 CRC screenees. […] The prevalence of Barretts esophagus was substantial in our population of older overweight men. […] A model based on GERD, age, abdominal obesity, and cigarette use more accurately classified the presence of Barretts esophagus than did a model based on GERD alone. […] We created a prediction tool, which had a NRI index of ~20% for classifying the probability of Barretts esophagus compared with a model based on GERD frequency and duration alone. […] Our novel prediction tool more accurately classifies the presence of Barretts esophagus than does a model based on GERD symptom frequency and duration alone.
  • #44 Esophageal adenocarcinoma: A dire need for early detection and treatment | Cleveland Clinic Journal of Medicine
    https://www.ccjm.org/content/89/5/269
    Current guidelines, which are based on low-quality evidence and expert opinion, restrict screening to a very specific patient population: ie, those with long-standing gastroesophageal reflux disease ( 5 years) and those with frequent reflux symptoms (weekly or more) with 2 or more risk factors for Barrett esophagus or esophageal adenocarcinoma. […] Patients diagnosed with Barrett esophagus without dysplasia should undergo endoscopy every 3 to 5 years. […] However, nearly 90% of cases of esophageal adenocarcinoma are diagnosed in patients not known to have Barrett esophagus. This shows that the current screening guidelines continue to miss a large number of patients at risk. […] For small esophageal adenocarcinoma lesions (ie, 1.5 cm), multiple studies have shown endoscopic mucosal resection to be an effective strategy with good long-term results. For larger lesions or suspected deeper invasion or squamous cell carcinoma, a multidisciplinary approach is warranted.
  • #45 Prediction of Barrett’s Esophagus Among Men
    https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC3903120/
    Barretts esophagus was found in 70 (8.5%) of 822 CRC screenees. […] The prevalence of Barretts esophagus was substantial in our population of older overweight men. […] A model based on GERD, age, abdominal obesity, and cigarette use more accurately classified the presence of Barretts esophagus than did a model based on GERD alone. […] We created a prediction tool, which had a NRI index of ~20% for classifying the probability of Barretts esophagus compared with a model based on GERD frequency and duration alone. […] Our novel prediction tool more accurately classifies the presence of Barretts esophagus than does a model based on GERD symptom frequency and duration alone.
  • #46 Prediction of Barrett’s Esophagus Among Men
    https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC3903120/
    Barretts esophagus was found in 70 (8.5%) of 822 CRC screenees. […] The prevalence of Barretts esophagus was substantial in our population of older overweight men. […] A model based on GERD, age, abdominal obesity, and cigarette use more accurately classified the presence of Barretts esophagus than did a model based on GERD alone. […] We created a prediction tool, which had a NRI index of ~20% for classifying the probability of Barretts esophagus compared with a model based on GERD frequency and duration alone. […] Our novel prediction tool more accurately classifies the presence of Barretts esophagus than does a model based on GERD symptom frequency and duration alone.
  • #47 Predictors of Progression in Barrett’s Esophagus: Current Knowledge and Future Directions
    https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC3408387/
    Barretts esophagus is the strongest risk for esophageal adenocarcinoma (EAC), a malignancy with persistently poor long-term outcomes. […] Identification of factors predicting progression to EAC would help in focusing surveillance, chemoprevention or ablation at those deemed to be at highest risk of progression. […] Clinical and demographic factors (age, male gender, length of BE segment) are associated with modestly increased odds of progression to EAC in some studies. […] Biomarkers such as aneuploidy and p53 loss of heterozygosity have been associated with increased risk of progression to high-grade dysplasia and / or EAC in single center prospective cohort studies. […] Development of a comprehensive BE risk progression score comprised of both clinical and biomarker variables should be the ultimate goal and can be achieved by multicenter prospective collaborative efforts.
  • #48 Predictors of Progression in Barrett’s Esophagus: Current Knowledge and Future Directions
    https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC3408387/
    Though challenging, creation of such a score has the potential to improve outcomes and make the management of patients with BE more cost effective. […] The long-term survival of patients with EAC who present with symptoms remains dismal. […] This evidence from retrospective studies found that patients diagnosed with EAC in BE surveillance programs may have better survival than those diagnosed after the onset of symptoms has led to recommendations for the endoscopic surveillance of patients diagnosed with BE to detect progression to dysplasia and / or EAC. […] The potentially large number of patients with BE, which makes the estimate of subjects requiring surveillance run into millions in the United States, is one of many barriers to efficient and effective surveillance. […] Despite multiple limitations, the grade of dysplasia remains the most widely used tool to assess the risk of progression in BE.
  • #49 Predictors of Progression in Barrett’s Esophagus: Current Knowledge and Future Directions
    https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC3408387/
    Barretts esophagus is the strongest risk for esophageal adenocarcinoma (EAC), a malignancy with persistently poor long-term outcomes. […] Identification of factors predicting progression to EAC would help in focusing surveillance, chemoprevention or ablation at those deemed to be at highest risk of progression. […] Clinical and demographic factors (age, male gender, length of BE segment) are associated with modestly increased odds of progression to EAC in some studies. […] Biomarkers such as aneuploidy and p53 loss of heterozygosity have been associated with increased risk of progression to high-grade dysplasia and / or EAC in single center prospective cohort studies. […] Development of a comprehensive BE risk progression score comprised of both clinical and biomarker variables should be the ultimate goal and can be achieved by multicenter prospective collaborative efforts.
  • #50 Predictors of Progression in Barrett’s Esophagus: Current Knowledge and Future Directions
    https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC3408387/
    However, surveillance of all patients with BE remains an expensive and not a cost-effective proposition. […] Assessment of the current knowledge gaps would be of crucial importance in devising a future road map for the development of a practical, cost-effective and widely applicable tool for the risk stratification of patients with BE. […] The grade of dysplasia continues to be the bedrock of risk stratification in patients with BE. […] The currently accepted paradigm attempts to correlate the risk of progression to the grade of dysplasia based on circumstantial evidence that progression occurs in an orderly fashion from no dysplasia to LGD to HGD followed by EAC. […] The reported rate of progression to EAC in patients with LGD has varied from 0.61.2% per year. […] A recent meta-analysis reported that the rate of progression to EAC in LGD was 16.98/1,000 person-years compared with 5.98/1,000 person-years in subjects with no dysplasia, but there was significant heterogeneity between the studies.
  • #51 Utility of ancillary studies in the diagnosis and risk assessment of Barrett’s esophagus and dysplasia | Modern Pathology
    https://www.nature.com/articles/s41379-022-01056-0
    Consequently, both the American College of Gastroenterology and the American Gastroenterological Association strongly recommend that all potential dysplasia cases be confirmed by at least one experienced GI pathologist before embarking on a management plan. […] Overall, these results suggest that additional or alternative biomarker(s) may be useful to better risk stratify BE patients. […] The objective of TissueCypher is to evaluate samples from BE patients diagnosed as negative for dysplasia, IND, or LGD on routine histologic evaluation to identify those patients most likely to progress to HGD/EAC so that intensified screening or ablation can be offered to them. […] The biggest appeal of ML assessment is that it allows a direct correlation with morphology and provides an objective quantitative measure of the presence and extent of molecular alterations associated with development of dysplasia and EAC, eliminating human interobserver variability.
  • #52 The Aberrant Expression of Biomarkers and Risk Prediction for Neoplastic Changes in Barrett’s Esophagus–Dysplasia
    https://www.mdpi.com/2072-6694/16/13/2386
    The aberrant expressions of p53 and p16 in BE-indefinite dysplasia (IND) progressor cohorts predicted the risk of progression. […] Aberrant p16 expression is significantly associated with LGD, HGD, and EAC histology with 10.8 RR, 90% sensitivity, and 87% specificity. […] The overexpression of p53 was identified in all categories of BE-associated dysplasia but the degree of aberrant expression increased with the progression of dysplasia. […] Overall, aberrant p53 expression seems to serve as a marker for the likelihood of progression to HGD/EAC. […] The findings in our study support those of previous studies. […] The aberrant expression of one or a combination of useful biomarkers with high sensitivity and specificity, such as cyclin D1, MCM2, p16, beta-catenin, Ki-67, and p53, appears to be suitable for use in a routine test in a clinical laboratory. […] The British Society of Gastroenterology recommends assessing TP53 using IHC to solve the issue of equivocal histologic diagnoses of dysplasia, reflexively adding this to routine practice.
  • #53 Esophageal adenocarcinoma: A dire need for early detection and treatment | Cleveland Clinic Journal of Medicine
    https://www.ccjm.org/content/89/5/269
    Current guidelines, which are based on low-quality evidence and expert opinion, restrict screening to a very specific patient population: ie, those with long-standing gastroesophageal reflux disease ( 5 years) and those with frequent reflux symptoms (weekly or more) with 2 or more risk factors for Barrett esophagus or esophageal adenocarcinoma. […] Patients diagnosed with Barrett esophagus without dysplasia should undergo endoscopy every 3 to 5 years. […] However, nearly 90% of cases of esophageal adenocarcinoma are diagnosed in patients not known to have Barrett esophagus. This shows that the current screening guidelines continue to miss a large number of patients at risk. […] For small esophageal adenocarcinoma lesions (ie, 1.5 cm), multiple studies have shown endoscopic mucosal resection to be an effective strategy with good long-term results. For larger lesions or suspected deeper invasion or squamous cell carcinoma, a multidisciplinary approach is warranted.
  • #54 Esophageal adenocarcinoma: A dire need for early detection and treatment | Cleveland Clinic Journal of Medicine
    https://www.ccjm.org/content/89/5/269
    Current guidelines, which are based on low-quality evidence and expert opinion, restrict screening to a very specific patient population: ie, those with long-standing gastroesophageal reflux disease ( 5 years) and those with frequent reflux symptoms (weekly or more) with 2 or more risk factors for Barrett esophagus or esophageal adenocarcinoma. […] Patients diagnosed with Barrett esophagus without dysplasia should undergo endoscopy every 3 to 5 years. […] However, nearly 90% of cases of esophageal adenocarcinoma are diagnosed in patients not known to have Barrett esophagus. This shows that the current screening guidelines continue to miss a large number of patients at risk. […] For small esophageal adenocarcinoma lesions (ie, 1.5 cm), multiple studies have shown endoscopic mucosal resection to be an effective strategy with good long-term results. For larger lesions or suspected deeper invasion or squamous cell carcinoma, a multidisciplinary approach is warranted.
  • #55 Understanding Barrett’s Esophagus Diagnosis and Cancer Risk
    https://castlebiosciences.com/patient-information/gastroenterology/barretts-esophagus/overview
    Detecting and treating dysplastic Barretts esophagus is an extremely effective way to prevent esophageal adenocarcinoma. However, only treating patients who present with dysplastic Barretts esophagus can result in missing patients who progress to cancer rapidly. In fact, 50% of Barretts esophagus patients who develop cancer were initially treated as if they were low risk because no dysplasia was detected at diagnosis. […] TissueCypher is an artificial intelligence-driven, precision medicine test to predict the risk of progression from Barretts esophagus to cancer, which can identify patients that show no signs of dysplasia but are at high risk of progressing to cancer in the future.
  • #56 Utility of ancillary studies in the diagnosis and risk assessment of Barrett’s esophagus and dysplasia | Modern Pathology
    https://www.nature.com/articles/s41379-022-01056-0
    Barretts esophagus (BE) is a major risk factor for the development of esophageal adenocarcinoma (EAC). […] The desire for more accurate diagnosis and better risk stratification has prompted the investigation and development of potential biomarkers that might assist pathologists and clinicians in the management of BE patients, allowing more aggressive endoscopic surveillance and treatment options to be targeted to high-risk individuals, while avoiding frequent surveillance or unnecessary interventions in those at lower risk. […] The detection of HGD usually prompts endoscopic therapy, generally in the form of radiofrequency ablation (RFA) with or without endoscopic mucosal resection (EMR), due to its more frequent association with EAC compared with LGD. […] However, a significant number of BE patients with dysplasia (~20%) are resistant to endoscopic therapy, and recurrences or progression to EAC during endoscopic therapy are not uncommon.
  • #57 Esophageal adenocarcinoma: A dire need for early detection and treatment | Cleveland Clinic Journal of Medicine
    https://www.ccjm.org/content/89/5/269
    Patients with early esophageal adenocarcinoma and risk of lymph node metastasis are best treated with surgical resection, which allows for lymph node dissection, but many patients over age 65 or those with significant comorbidities may not be candidates for surgery. In these patients, endoscopic resection with adjuvant chemotherapy or radiotherapy can be considered.
  • #58 Utility of ancillary studies in the diagnosis and risk assessment of Barrett’s esophagus and dysplasia | Modern Pathology
    https://www.nature.com/articles/s41379-022-01056-0
    In conclusion, as the current surveillance methods based on the histologic diagnosis and classification of dysplasia imperfectly assess the risk of BE patients, especially those with IND or NDBE histology, there is an increasing demand for ancillary tests to aid in the diagnosis/grading of dysplasia and risk stratification of BE patients.
  • #59 Diagnostic and predictive biomarkers for Barrett’s esophagus: a narrative review – Di – Digestive Medicine Research
    https://dmr.amegroups.org/article/view/7106/html
    One seminal study confirmed p53 as a clinically pertinent predictor of neoplastic progression of BE, showing the overall OR for intense overexpression of p53 in NDBE, and LGD to be 6.1, and 8.6, respectively. Cyclin A has also been considered as a reliable predictive biomarker for neoplastic progression. Its overall OR for predicting neoplastic progression in BE patients is estimated at 1.9. […] During the malignant transformation of BE, microRNA expression appeared to be up-regulated or down-regulated. The up-regulation of miRNA expression is mainly concentrated in microRNA-205, 203, 133-a, 21, 25, and 223, while down-regulation occurs mainly in microRNA-375. These markers, together with microRNA 100, 145, 148, 149, 199a-5p, 29c-3p, 27b, 126, and 143 have been proposed as potentially useful prognostic biomarkers. In other studies, higher expression of microRNA-192, 194, 196a, and 196b are observed in BE patients with progression to EAC than those who do not progress to EAC. […] The ultimate goal is for these biomarkers to serve as important tools for clinicians to make an accurate diagnosis of BE, early diagnosis and eradication of BE-related neoplasia, and risk stratify the risk lesions so that they can benefit from intensive surveillance, and pre-emptive treatment.
  • #60 Barrett’s Esophagus: New Tool Predicts the Risk of Cancer
    https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/barretts-esophagus-new-tool-predicts-risk-cancer-pat-salber-md-mba
    Providing risk information from TissueCypher can make a big difference. […] This will help identify the right patients for ablation therapy, prevent cancer, save lives, and eliminate unnecessary cost. […] Cernostics TissueCypher Assay for Barrett’s Esophagus is a technologic advance over traditional tissue biopsy.
  • #61 Diagnostic and predictive biomarkers for Barrett’s esophagus: a narrative review – Di – Digestive Medicine Research
    https://dmr.amegroups.org/article/view/7106/html
    One seminal study confirmed p53 as a clinically pertinent predictor of neoplastic progression of BE, showing the overall OR for intense overexpression of p53 in NDBE, and LGD to be 6.1, and 8.6, respectively. Cyclin A has also been considered as a reliable predictive biomarker for neoplastic progression. Its overall OR for predicting neoplastic progression in BE patients is estimated at 1.9. […] During the malignant transformation of BE, microRNA expression appeared to be up-regulated or down-regulated. The up-regulation of miRNA expression is mainly concentrated in microRNA-205, 203, 133-a, 21, 25, and 223, while down-regulation occurs mainly in microRNA-375. These markers, together with microRNA 100, 145, 148, 149, 199a-5p, 29c-3p, 27b, 126, and 143 have been proposed as potentially useful prognostic biomarkers. In other studies, higher expression of microRNA-192, 194, 196a, and 196b are observed in BE patients with progression to EAC than those who do not progress to EAC. […] The ultimate goal is for these biomarkers to serve as important tools for clinicians to make an accurate diagnosis of BE, early diagnosis and eradication of BE-related neoplasia, and risk stratify the risk lesions so that they can benefit from intensive surveillance, and pre-emptive treatment.
  • #62 Barrett’s Esophagus: Symptoms, Causes, Treatments & Medications
    https://my.clevelandclinic.org/health/diseases/14432-barretts-esophagus
    Because of the small chance it might progress to esophageal cancer, healthcare providers like to keep an eye on Barretts esophagus. But the risk is only about half a percent per year. […] If you remove the affected tissue and stop whatever was injuring your esophagus, Barretts esophagus may be cured. But it can return. […] In general, your prognosis (outlook) is better the sooner you seek treatment. You can prevent and even remove cancerous changes if you catch them early enough.