Wodogłowie
Rokowania, prognozy i postęp choroby

Prognozowanie wyników leczenia wodogłowia, zarówno nabytego niemowlęcego, jak i normotensyjnego (NPH), wymaga uwzględnienia wielu czynników klinicznych i diagnostycznych. W przypadku wodogłowia niemowlęcego kluczowe znaczenie mają etiologia, czas interwencji chirurgicznej (≤13 dni jako czynnik korzystny) oraz stopień poszerzenia układu komorowego. Wodogłowie pokrwotoczne (PHH) wykazuje relatywnie lepsze rokowanie, z wyjątkiem przypadków łączących wcześniactwo, krwawienie i zapalenie opon mózgowo-rdzeniowych. Opóźnienie interwencji powyżej 13 dni wiąże się z gorszym rokowaniem (czułość 0,77, swoistość 0,72). W NPH istotne czynniki prognostyczne to m.in. wiek pacjenta, czas trwania choroby (≤1 rok), stopień otępienia, rodzaj zastawki (np. Miethke-Dual-Switch) oraz opór odpływu płynu mózgowo-rdzeniowego powyżej 20 mmHg/ml/min. Mediana przeżycia po leczeniu zastawką komorowo-otrzewnową wynosi 8,82 lat (95% CI: 8,23–9,40), a istotne predyktory śmiertelności to zaburzenia chodu (HR=2,25), trzymania moczu (HR=1,66) oraz wynik w zmodyfikowanej skali Rankina (HR=2,21), wszystkie z p<0,001.

Prognostyka wodogłowia (Prognosis, outcome prediction)

Przewidywanie wyniku leczenia wodogłowia stanowi istotne wyzwanie dla klinicystów, a właściwa ocena prognostyczna pozwala na optymalizację doboru metod terapeutycznych i poprawę długoterminowych rezultatów leczenia. Wodogłowie (hydrocephalus) jako schorzenie o różnorodnej etiologii charakteryzuje się zróżnicowanym przebiegiem klinicznym i odpowiedzią na leczenie, co wymaga dokładnej analizy wielu czynników prognostycznych.1

Czynniki prognostyczne u niemowląt z nabytym wodogłowiem

W przypadku nabytego wodogłowia niemowlęcego kluczowe znaczenie dla rokowania mają: etiologia, czas interwencji chirurgicznej oraz stopień poszerzenia układu komorowego. Badania wykazują, że opóźniona interwencja chirurgiczna i znaczne poszerzenie komór mózgowych wiążą się z gorszym rokowaniem.23

Wyniki pochodzące z kompleksowej analizy czynników prognostycznych wskazują, że:

  • Wodogłowie pokrwotoczne (PHH) ma stosunkowo korzystne rokowanie w porównaniu z innymi etiologiami, z wyjątkiem przypadków łączących wcześniactwo, krwawienie i zapalenie opon mózgowo-rdzeniowych45
  • Opóźnienie interwencji chirurgicznej (punkt odcięcia 13 dni) wiąże się z gorszym rokowaniem, z czułością 0,77 i swoistością 0,726
  • Dziedziczne błędy metabolizmu jako przyczyna wodogłowia wykazują istotną statystycznie różnicę w zakresie niekorzystnych wyników w porównaniu z innymi etiologiami (P=0,02)78

Połączenie oceny czasu interwencji chirurgicznej i wskaźników ultrasonografii przezczaszkowej (cUS) stanowi lepszy marker predykcyjny niż każdy z tych parametrów osobno (czas interwencji chirurgicznej, P=0,05; wskaźniki cUS, P=0,002).9

Czynniki prognostyczne w wodogłowiu normotensyjnym

W wodogłowiu normotensyjnym (NPH), który stanowi istotną przyczynę otępienia poddającą się leczeniu, zidentyfikowano liczne czynniki prognostyczne, mające wpływ na skuteczność leczenia za pomocą zastawek:1011

  • Wiek pacjenta – młodszy wiek zwykle wiąże się z lepszym rokowaniem
  • Czas trwania choroby – krótszy przebieg (≤1 rok) jest korzystnym czynnikiem prognostycznym
  • Objawy kliniczne – niewielki stopień otępienia i brak otępienia są pozytywnymi predyktorami
  • Rodzaj implantowanej zastawki – zastosowanie zastawki Miethke-Dual-Switch koreluje z lepszymi wynikami
  • Wartość oporu odpływu płynu mózgowo-rdzeniowego – opór powyżej 20 mmHg/ml/min jest korzystnym predyktorem w zaawansowanym NPH

1213

Warto podkreślić, że gorsze rokowanie w NPH często nie jest konsekwencją samej etiologii wodogłowia, ale wynika z kumulacji negatywnych czynników prognostycznych i opóźnionego właściwego leczenia.14

Przeżywalność po leczeniu zastawkowym

Metaanaliza obejmująca 1614 pacjentów z NPH leczonych zastawką komorowo-otrzewnową wykazała, że mediana czasu przeżycia wynosi 8,82 lat (95% CI: 8,23–9,40).15

Istotny wpływ na przeżywalność mają początkowe nasilenie objawów:

  • Zaburzenia chodu – HR = 2,25 (95% CI: 1,81–2,81, p < 0,001)
  • Zaburzenia trzymania moczu – HR = 1,66 (95% CI: 1,33–2,06, p < 0,001)
  • Wynik w zmodyfikowanej skali Rankina (mRS) – HR = 2,21 (95% CI: 1,74–2,80, p < 0,001)

16

Wskaźnik śmiertelności dla wodogłowia i powiązanej terapii waha się od 0 do 3%, w zależności od czasu obserwacji. Przeżycie bez zdarzeń związanych z zastawką wynosi około 70% po 12 miesiącach i zmniejsza się o połowę po 10 latach po operacji.17

Biomarkery i parametry radiologiczne jako predyktory wyników leczenia

Wśród nowoczesnych metod predykcji wyników leczenia wodogłowia normotensyjnego ważną rolę odgrywają biomarkery płynu mózgowo-rdzeniowego oraz zaawansowane techniki obrazowania:1819

Biomarkery płynu mózgowo-rdzeniowego w idiopatycznym wodogłowiu normotensyjnym (iNPH):

  • Wyższe stężenie neurograniny (marker postsynaptyczny) w komorowym PMR może sygnalizować korzystny wynik pooperacyjny
  • Panel biomarkerów (GFAP, neurogranina i T-tau) wyjaśnia jedynie 6% zmienności wyników leczenia
  • Obecność patologii amyloidowej lub tau nie wpływa na wynik leczenia, co sugeruje, że pacjenci z tymi patologiami nie powinni być wykluczani z kwalifikacji do leczenia iNPH

20

Zastosowanie elastografii rezonansu magnetycznego (MRE) w prognozowaniu wyników leczenia:

  • Klasyfikatory oparte na analizie 2D i 20D cech mechanicznych mózgu pozwalają przewidywać wyniki kliniczne, z polem pod krzywą ROC wynoszącym odpowiednio 0,66 i 0,77
  • Bardziej szczegółowa analiza przestrzeni cech (20D) poprawia predykcję w porównaniu z przestrzenią 2D, wskazując, że szczegółowe podsumowanie wyników MRE zawiera istotne klinicznie informacje

2122

Profile ryzyka naczyniowego a rokowanie

Czynniki ryzyka naczyniowego (VRF) odgrywają istotną rolę w rokowaniu pacjentów z idiopatycznym wodogłowiem normotensyjnym. Narzędzia wspierające podejmowanie decyzji klinicznych (CDST) podsumowujące ryzyko naczyniowe w formie ujednoliconego wyniku mogą być pomocne w przewidywaniu wyników leczenia:23

  • Framingham Risk Score (FRS) okazał się najlepszym narzędziem do przewidywania zarówno krótkoterminowych wyników, jak i 10-letniego ryzyka śmiertelności u pacjentów z iNPH
  • Wzrost wyniku FRS o 1 punkt wiązał się z 2% wyższym ryzykiem zgonu w ciągu 10 lat (HR 1,02, 95% CI 1,003-1,035, p = 0,021)
  • Przy punkcie odcięcia FRS wynoszącym 32,5%, dodatnia wartość predykcyjna dla krótkoterminowego wyniku operacji wynosiła 80%, a ujemna wartość predykcyjna 48% (p = 0,012)

2425

Wyniki badań sugerują, że intensywne leczenie czynników ryzyka u pacjentów z iNPH może zmniejszyć ryzyko śmiertelności, co wskazuje na potrzebę dalszych badań w celu wdrożenia CDST w warunkach klinicznych i opracowania narzędzia dostosowanego specjalnie dla pacjentów z iNPH.26

Prognozowanie wyników endoskopowej wentrikulostomii trzeciej komory

Endoskopowa wentrikulostomia trzeciej komory (ETV) staje się coraz powszechniejszą metodą leczenia wodogłowia. Kluczowe znaczenie ma możliwość przewidywania, którzy pacjenci odniosą korzyść z tej procedury:2728

  • Standaryzowany system oceny może przewidywać wynik ETV i pomóc w podejmowaniu decyzji o wyborze ETV versus zastawka komorowo-otrzewnowa
  • Możliwość przewidywania, kto skorzysta z ETV, pozwoli na lepszy dobór pacjentów zarówno do ETV, jak i do założenia zastawki
  • System prognostyczny dla dorosłych pacjentów może być również wykorzystywany jako narzędzie komunikacji w celu zapewnienia lepszej informacji i poradnictwa

293031

W przypadku leczenia wodogłowia niemowlęcego za pomocą ETV z koagulacją splotu naczyniówkowego (ETV/CPC), niepowodzenie leczenia pozostaje znaczącym problemem dla około jednej trzeciej przypadków, przy czym większość niepowodzeń występuje w ciągu pierwszych sześciu miesięcy. Punkt końcowy dla oceny niepowodzenia leczenia to zwykle sześć miesięcy po operacji, przy czym skumulowany wskaźnik powodzenia wynosi około 63% (zakres 54-72%).3233

Zastosowanie uczenia maszynowego w prognozowaniu

Modele uczenia maszynowego (ML) zyskują coraz większe znaczenie w prognozowaniu wyników leczenia wodogłowia:34

  • Sztuczne sieci neuronowe (ANN) wykazują wysoką skuteczność w przewidywaniu niepowodzeń zastawek płynu mózgowo-rdzeniowego u dzieci (AUC = 0,71, swoistość = 90%)
  • ANN przewyższają modele regresji logistycznej (LR) w przewidywaniu infekcji zastawek u dzieci z zastawką komorowo-otrzewnową (AUC = 91,98% vs 76,5%)
  • Algorytm Adaboost okazał się najdokładniejszym modelem ML (AUC = 75,42 ± 8,41)
  • ANN osiągnęły najwyższy wskaźnik dokładności (93,79 ± 7,6) w przewidywaniu pomyślnego wyniku ETV po 6 miesiącach

35

Modele ML mogą analizować duże ilości danych klinicznych i obrazów radiologicznych, określać złożone zależności między tymi zmiennymi oraz przewidywać, czy interwencja jest konieczna na aktualnym etapie klinicznym. Szybki postęp sztucznej inteligencji i uczenia maszynowego w dziedzinie medycyny może prowadzić do poprawy wyników leczenia nie tylko wodogłowia, ale całej opieki neurochirurgicznej.36

Znaczenie wczesnej diagnostyki i leczenia

Triada wczesnego wykrycia, szybkiego leczenia i podjęcia niezbędnych kroków w celu uniknięcia zakażeń miejsca operowanego stanowi podstawę zapewnienia dobrego rokowania długoterminowego. Szczególnie pomaga to w zmniejszeniu ryzyka rozwoju klinicznie istotnych uszkodzeń neurologicznych.37

Niewykrycie wodogłowia na czas i nieodpowiednie leczenie mogą prowadzić do długotrwałych deficytów neurologicznych, wymagających zaangażowania wielodyscyplinarnych zespołów medycznych, aby pomóc pacjentom z zaburzeniami rozwojowymi i trwałymi zaburzeniami poznawczymi. Uszkodzenia neurologiczne, które mogły wystąpić przed leczeniem, są niestety nieodwracalne i mogą mieć znaczący wpływ na funkcjonalne wyniki społeczne, takie jak integracja społeczna, edukacja i małżeństwo.38

Główne czynniki prognostyczne w wodogłowiu

Typ wodogłowia Czynniki pozytywne Czynniki negatywne
Wodogłowie nabyte niemowlęce
  • Wczesna interwencja chirurgiczna (≤13 dni)
  • Mniejszy stopień poszerzenia komór
  • Etiologia pokrwotoczna (bez dodatkowych czynników)
  • Opóźniona interwencja chirurgiczna (>13 dni)
  • Znaczne poszerzenie komór
  • Dziedziczne błędy metabolizmu
  • Kombinacja wcześniactwa, krwawienia i zapalenia opon
Wodogłowie normotensyjne (NPH)
  • Krótki czas trwania choroby (≤1 rok)
  • Wczesny etap (bez atrofii mózgu)
  • Niewielki stopień otępienia lub jego brak
  • Opór odpływu PMR >20 mmHg/ml/min (w zaawansowanym NPH)
  • Pozytywny wynik testu upustu PMR
  • Długi czas trwania choroby (>1 rok)
  • Późny etap (z obecną atrofią mózgu)
  • Zaawansowane otępienie
  • Wielochorobowość
  • Zaawansowany wiek
Endoskopowa wentrikulostomia trzeciej komory (ETV)
  • Odpowiednia selekcja pacjentów na podstawie systemów prognostycznych
  • Dokładna ocena przyczyny wodogłowia
  • Zaawansowane techniki predykcyjne oparte na uczeniu maszynowym
  • Niewłaściwa kwalifikacja pacjentów
  • Niedokładna diagnostyka przyczyny wodogłowia
  • Brak specyficznych dla dorosłych systemów prognostycznych

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  1. 14.04.2026
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Materiały źródłowe

  • #1 Hydrocephalus: Practice Essentials, Background, Pathophysiology
    https://emedicine.medscape.com/article/1135286-overview
    Long-term outcome is related directly to the cause of hydrocephalus. […] Up to 50% of patients with large intraventricular hemorrhage develop permanent hydrocephalus requiring shunt. […] Following removal of a posterior fossa tumor in children, 20% develop permanent hydrocephalus requiring a shunt. The overall prognosis is related to type, location, and extent of surgical resection of the tumor. […] Satisfactory control was reported for medical treatment in 50% of hydrocephalic patients younger than 1 year who had stable vital signs, normal renal function, and no symptoms of elevated ICP.
  • #2 Outcomes and prognostic factors of infantile acquired hydrocephalus: a single-center experience
    https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC10207705/
    To assess the etiologies and adverse outcomes of infantile acquired hydrocephalus and predict prognosis. […] Late surgical treatment times and severe ventricular dilation can predict adverse outcomes in infants with acquired hydrocephalus. It is crucial to identify the causes of acquired hydrocephalus to predict the adverse outcomes. […] A significant difference in adverse outcomes between the inherited error of metabolism as a cause and other etiologies (P=0.02). […] The combination of surgical intervention time and cranial ultrasonography (cUS) indices was a better predictive marker compared with any of them (surgical intervention time, P=0.05; cUS indices, P=0.002). […] A cutoff point of 13 days was determined for surgical intervention time, with a sensitivity of 0.77 and specificity of 0.72.
  • #3 Outcomes and prognostic factors of infantile acquired hydrocephalus: a single-center experience | BMC Pediatrics | Full Text
    https://bmcpediatr.biomedcentral.com/articles/10.1186/s12887-023-04034-w
    To assess the etiologies and adverse outcomes of infantile acquired hydrocephalus and predict prognosis. […] Late surgical treatment times and severe ventricular dilation can predict adverse outcomes in infants with acquired hydrocephalus. It is crucial to identify the causes of acquired hydrocephalus to predict the adverse outcomes. […] The combination of surgical intervention time and cranial ultrasonography (cUS) indices was a better predictive marker compared with any of them (surgical intervention time, P=0.05; cUS indices, P=0.002). […] A significant difference in adverse outcomes between the inherited error of metabolism as a cause and other etiologies (P=0.02). […] This study provides a comprehensive analysis of the prognostic factors related to infant hydrocephalus, as evaluated at our center over the last 12 years. We found that PHH had a relatively favorable outcome compared with other etiologies except for the influences of prematurity and hemorrhage combined with meningitis. Late surgical intervention time and severe ventricular dilation have relatively adverse outcomes. Further research to reduce the incidence and severity of hydrocephalus in infants and improve their subsequent neurodevelopmental outcomes is urgently needed.
  • #4 Outcomes and prognostic factors of infantile acquired hydrocephalus: a single-center experience
    https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC10207705/
    This study provides a comprehensive analysis of the prognostic factors related to infant hydrocephalus, as evaluated at our center over the last 12 years. We found that PHH had a relatively favorable outcome compared with other etiologies except for the influences of prematurity and hemorrhage combined with meningitis. Late surgical intervention time and severe ventricular dilation have relatively adverse outcomes. Further research to reduce the incidence and severity of hydrocephalus in infants and improve their subsequent neurodevelopmental outcomes is urgently needed.
  • #5 Outcomes and prognostic factors of infantile acquired hydrocephalus: a single-center experience | BMC Pediatrics | Full Text
    https://bmcpediatr.biomedcentral.com/articles/10.1186/s12887-023-04034-w
    To assess the etiologies and adverse outcomes of infantile acquired hydrocephalus and predict prognosis. […] Late surgical treatment times and severe ventricular dilation can predict adverse outcomes in infants with acquired hydrocephalus. It is crucial to identify the causes of acquired hydrocephalus to predict the adverse outcomes. […] The combination of surgical intervention time and cranial ultrasonography (cUS) indices was a better predictive marker compared with any of them (surgical intervention time, P=0.05; cUS indices, P=0.002). […] A significant difference in adverse outcomes between the inherited error of metabolism as a cause and other etiologies (P=0.02). […] This study provides a comprehensive analysis of the prognostic factors related to infant hydrocephalus, as evaluated at our center over the last 12 years. We found that PHH had a relatively favorable outcome compared with other etiologies except for the influences of prematurity and hemorrhage combined with meningitis. Late surgical intervention time and severe ventricular dilation have relatively adverse outcomes. Further research to reduce the incidence and severity of hydrocephalus in infants and improve their subsequent neurodevelopmental outcomes is urgently needed.
  • #6 Outcomes and prognostic factors of infantile acquired hydrocephalus: a single-center experience
    https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC10207705/
    To assess the etiologies and adverse outcomes of infantile acquired hydrocephalus and predict prognosis. […] Late surgical treatment times and severe ventricular dilation can predict adverse outcomes in infants with acquired hydrocephalus. It is crucial to identify the causes of acquired hydrocephalus to predict the adverse outcomes. […] A significant difference in adverse outcomes between the inherited error of metabolism as a cause and other etiologies (P=0.02). […] The combination of surgical intervention time and cranial ultrasonography (cUS) indices was a better predictive marker compared with any of them (surgical intervention time, P=0.05; cUS indices, P=0.002). […] A cutoff point of 13 days was determined for surgical intervention time, with a sensitivity of 0.77 and specificity of 0.72.
  • #7 Outcomes and prognostic factors of infantile acquired hydrocephalus: a single-center experience
    https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC10207705/
    To assess the etiologies and adverse outcomes of infantile acquired hydrocephalus and predict prognosis. […] Late surgical treatment times and severe ventricular dilation can predict adverse outcomes in infants with acquired hydrocephalus. It is crucial to identify the causes of acquired hydrocephalus to predict the adverse outcomes. […] A significant difference in adverse outcomes between the inherited error of metabolism as a cause and other etiologies (P=0.02). […] The combination of surgical intervention time and cranial ultrasonography (cUS) indices was a better predictive marker compared with any of them (surgical intervention time, P=0.05; cUS indices, P=0.002). […] A cutoff point of 13 days was determined for surgical intervention time, with a sensitivity of 0.77 and specificity of 0.72.
  • #8 Outcomes and prognostic factors of infantile acquired hydrocephalus: a single-center experience | BMC Pediatrics | Full Text
    https://bmcpediatr.biomedcentral.com/articles/10.1186/s12887-023-04034-w
    To assess the etiologies and adverse outcomes of infantile acquired hydrocephalus and predict prognosis. […] Late surgical treatment times and severe ventricular dilation can predict adverse outcomes in infants with acquired hydrocephalus. It is crucial to identify the causes of acquired hydrocephalus to predict the adverse outcomes. […] The combination of surgical intervention time and cranial ultrasonography (cUS) indices was a better predictive marker compared with any of them (surgical intervention time, P=0.05; cUS indices, P=0.002). […] A significant difference in adverse outcomes between the inherited error of metabolism as a cause and other etiologies (P=0.02). […] This study provides a comprehensive analysis of the prognostic factors related to infant hydrocephalus, as evaluated at our center over the last 12 years. We found that PHH had a relatively favorable outcome compared with other etiologies except for the influences of prematurity and hemorrhage combined with meningitis. Late surgical intervention time and severe ventricular dilation have relatively adverse outcomes. Further research to reduce the incidence and severity of hydrocephalus in infants and improve their subsequent neurodevelopmental outcomes is urgently needed.
  • #9 Outcomes and prognostic factors of infantile acquired hydrocephalus: a single-center experience
    https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC10207705/
    To assess the etiologies and adverse outcomes of infantile acquired hydrocephalus and predict prognosis. […] Late surgical treatment times and severe ventricular dilation can predict adverse outcomes in infants with acquired hydrocephalus. It is crucial to identify the causes of acquired hydrocephalus to predict the adverse outcomes. […] A significant difference in adverse outcomes between the inherited error of metabolism as a cause and other etiologies (P=0.02). […] The combination of surgical intervention time and cranial ultrasonography (cUS) indices was a better predictive marker compared with any of them (surgical intervention time, P=0.05; cUS indices, P=0.002). […] A cutoff point of 13 days was determined for surgical intervention time, with a sensitivity of 0.77 and specificity of 0.72.
  • #10 Predictors of outcome in patients with normal-pressure hydrocephalus – PubMed
    https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/12852885/
    Despite knowledge emerging over the last 40 years, the postoperative results after shunt implantation in patients diagnosed with normal-pressure hydrocephalus (NPH) have not improved significantly over the last decade. For that reason predictors have to be identified in order to preoperatively predict outcome. […] In our study, we focussed attention on the possible predictors: patients age, length of disease, clinical signs (gait ataxia, dementia and bladder incontinence), aetiology idiopathic/secondary as well as implanted valve type and the value of resistance to cerebrospinal fluid outflow. […] In 80 patients with an early stage NPH (without cerebral atrophy), a short course of disease (1 year), a slight degree of dementia and an implanted Miethke-Dual-Switch valve were significant predictors for a positive postoperative outcome. The outflow resistance measured in the intrathecal infusion test showed only a minimal relevance to outcome. Those 75 patients with a late state NPH (with cerebral atrophy) had a better outcome when dementia was not present, the outflow resistance was above 20mm Hg/min/ml, the CSF tap-test was positive and a Miethke-Dual-Switch valve was implanted.
  • #11 Predictors of outcome in patients with normal-pressure hydrocephalus | SpringerLink
    https://link.springer.com/chapter/10.1007/3-211-30714-1_73
    From 1982 until 2000 we examined 200 patients diagnosed with normal-pressure hydrocephalus (NPH) in a prospective study. […] In our study, we focused on the possible predictors: patient age; length of disease; clinical signs including gait ataxia, dementia, and bladder incontinence; idiopathic vs. secondary origin; implanted valve type and the resistance of the valve to cerebrospinal fluid outflow. […] In 80 patients without cerebral atrophy and a short course of disease (1 year), a slight amount of dementia and an implanted Miethke Dualswitch-Valve were significant predictors for a positive postoperative outcome. […] Seventy-five patients with cerebral atrophy had a better outcome when dementia was not present, outflow resistance was above 20 mmHg/mL/min, the CSF tap-test was positive, and a Miethke Dualswitch-Valve was implanted.
  • #12 Predictors of outcome in patients with normal-pressure hydrocephalus – PubMed
    https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/12852885/
    Despite knowledge emerging over the last 40 years, the postoperative results after shunt implantation in patients diagnosed with normal-pressure hydrocephalus (NPH) have not improved significantly over the last decade. For that reason predictors have to be identified in order to preoperatively predict outcome. […] In our study, we focussed attention on the possible predictors: patients age, length of disease, clinical signs (gait ataxia, dementia and bladder incontinence), aetiology idiopathic/secondary as well as implanted valve type and the value of resistance to cerebrospinal fluid outflow. […] In 80 patients with an early stage NPH (without cerebral atrophy), a short course of disease (1 year), a slight degree of dementia and an implanted Miethke-Dual-Switch valve were significant predictors for a positive postoperative outcome. The outflow resistance measured in the intrathecal infusion test showed only a minimal relevance to outcome. Those 75 patients with a late state NPH (with cerebral atrophy) had a better outcome when dementia was not present, the outflow resistance was above 20mm Hg/min/ml, the CSF tap-test was positive and a Miethke-Dual-Switch valve was implanted.
  • #13 Predictors of outcome in patients with normal-pressure hydrocephalus | SpringerLink
    https://link.springer.com/chapter/10.1007/3-211-30714-1_73
    From 1982 until 2000 we examined 200 patients diagnosed with normal-pressure hydrocephalus (NPH) in a prospective study. […] In our study, we focused on the possible predictors: patient age; length of disease; clinical signs including gait ataxia, dementia, and bladder incontinence; idiopathic vs. secondary origin; implanted valve type and the resistance of the valve to cerebrospinal fluid outflow. […] In 80 patients without cerebral atrophy and a short course of disease (1 year), a slight amount of dementia and an implanted Miethke Dualswitch-Valve were significant predictors for a positive postoperative outcome. […] Seventy-five patients with cerebral atrophy had a better outcome when dementia was not present, outflow resistance was above 20 mmHg/mL/min, the CSF tap-test was positive, and a Miethke Dualswitch-Valve was implanted.
  • #14 Outcome predictors for normal-pressure hydrocephalus | SpringerLink
    https://link.springer.com/chapter/10.1007/3-211-30714-1_75
    The objective of this prospective study was to find outcome predictors for better selection for treatment of normal-pressure hydrocephalus (NPH) patients. […] In general, outcome became worse with increasing anamnesis duration, worse preoperative clinical state, and increasing comorbidity. […] If one of these parameters was lower than a critical value, the shunt-responder rate was about 90% and the normally negative influence of older age was not seen. […] The well-known paradigm of a worse prognosis with NPH is not the result of the hydrocephalus etiology itself, but the consequence of a typical accumulation of negative outcome predictors as a consequence of the misinterpretation of normal aging and delayed adequate treatment.
  • #15 Survival After Shunt Therapy in Normal-Pressure Hydrocephalus: A Meta-Analysis of 1614 Patients
    https://www.mdpi.com/2035-8377/16/6/107
    Survival After Shunt Therapy in Normal-Pressure Hydrocephalus: A Meta-Analysis of 1614 Patients […] The natural history of NPH patients is characterized by a poor prognosis, markedly impairing quality of life and potentially reducing life expectancy. […] The median survival time in NPH patients treated with a VP shunt was 8.82 years (95% CI: 8.23–9.40). […] The HR for gait was 2.25 (95% CI: 1.81–2.81, p < 0.001). [...] The hazard ratio from the combined IPD for continence was 1.66 (95% CI: 1.33–2.06, p < 0.001). [...] The hazard ratio derived from the pooled IPD for mRS was 2.21 (95% CI: 1.74–2.80, p < 0.001). [...] Our findings support the proactive diagnostic and therapy of NPH patients in order to preserve their quality of life and prolong their life expectancy. The results highlight the impact of initial symptom severity on survival after VP shunt treatment in NPH patients. Early intervention in individuals with rigorous diagnosed NPH and without substantial comorbidities could potentially enhance their survival time.
  • #16 Survival After Shunt Therapy in Normal-Pressure Hydrocephalus: A Meta-Analysis of 1614 Patients
    https://www.mdpi.com/2035-8377/16/6/107
    Survival After Shunt Therapy in Normal-Pressure Hydrocephalus: A Meta-Analysis of 1614 Patients […] The natural history of NPH patients is characterized by a poor prognosis, markedly impairing quality of life and potentially reducing life expectancy. […] The median survival time in NPH patients treated with a VP shunt was 8.82 years (95% CI: 8.23–9.40). […] The HR for gait was 2.25 (95% CI: 1.81–2.81, p < 0.001). [...] The hazard ratio from the combined IPD for continence was 1.66 (95% CI: 1.33–2.06, p < 0.001). [...] The hazard ratio derived from the pooled IPD for mRS was 2.21 (95% CI: 1.74–2.80, p < 0.001). [...] Our findings support the proactive diagnostic and therapy of NPH patients in order to preserve their quality of life and prolong their life expectancy. The results highlight the impact of initial symptom severity on survival after VP shunt treatment in NPH patients. Early intervention in individuals with rigorous diagnosed NPH and without substantial comorbidities could potentially enhance their survival time.
  • #17 Azthena logo with the word Azthena
    https://www.news-medical.net/health/Hydrocephalus-Prognosis.aspx
    The mortality rate for hydrocephalus and associated therapy ranges from 0 to 3%. This rate is highly dependent on the duration of follow-up care. The shunt event-free survival is approximately 70% at 12 months and is nearly half that at 10 years, post-operatively. […] The triad of early detection, prompt treatment, and taking the necessary steps to avoid surgical site infections is the cornerstone to ensuring a great long-term outlook. It particularly helps in reducing the chances of developing clinically significant neurological damage. Failure to catch hydrocephalus on time and treat it accordingly may lead to long-term neurological deficits that require multidisciplinary medical teams to assist patients with developmental and lasting cognitive impairment. Neurological damage that may have occurred prior to treatment is unfortunately irreversible and can have a significant impact on functional social outcomes such as social integration, schooling, and marriage.
  • #18 Association between ventricular CSF biomarkers and outcome after shunt surgery in idiopathic normal pressure hydrocephalus | Fluids and Barriers of the CNS | Full Text
    https://fluidsbarrierscns.biomedcentral.com/articles/10.1186/s12987-023-00475-8
    The relationship between neurochemical changes and outcome after shunt surgery in idiopathic normal pressure hydrocephalus (iNPH), a treatable dementia and gait disorder, is unclear. […] A higher preoperative ventricular CSF level of neurogranin, which is a postsynaptic marker, may signal a favorable postoperative outcome. […] Concentrations of a panel of ventricular CSF biomarkers explained only 6% of the variability in outcome. […] Evidence of amyloid or tau pathology did not affect the outcome. […] The multivariate regression model including the three markers GFAP, neurogranin and, T-tau showed a weak correlation to outcome, explaining only 6% of the variance. […] This finding implies that other mechanisms not accounted for here are the key determinants for prediction of outcome and that the pathophysiological phenomena of astrogliosis, synaptic dysfunction and subcortical neuronal degeneration, signaled by changes in biomarker concentrations, play a minor role in moderating shunt response in patients. […] We conclude that evidence of amyloid pathology should not exclude patients from iNPH investigation or shunting, a notion supported by others. […] The role of vascular risk factors in iNPH remains to be further investigated.
  • #19 Prediction of Surgical Outcomes in Normal Pressure Hydrocephalus by MR Elastography | American Journal of Neuroradiology
    http://www.ajnr.org/content/early/2024/01/25/ajnr.A8108
    Normal pressure hydrocephalus is a treatable cause of dementia associated with distinct mechanical property signatures in the brain as measured by MR elastography. […] We tested the hypothesis that summary measures of these mechanical signatures can be used to predict clinical outcomes. […] Both the 2D and 20D classifiers performed significantly better than chance for predicting clinical outcomes with estimated areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.66 and 0.77, respectively. […] MR elastography provides further insight into mechanical alterations in the normal pressure hydrocephalus brain and is a promising, noninvasive method for predicting surgical outcomes in patients with normal pressure hydrocephalus. […] Predicting the outcome of shunt surgery is a challenging task.
  • #20 Association between ventricular CSF biomarkers and outcome after shunt surgery in idiopathic normal pressure hydrocephalus | Fluids and Barriers of the CNS | Full Text
    https://fluidsbarrierscns.biomedcentral.com/articles/10.1186/s12987-023-00475-8
    The relationship between neurochemical changes and outcome after shunt surgery in idiopathic normal pressure hydrocephalus (iNPH), a treatable dementia and gait disorder, is unclear. […] A higher preoperative ventricular CSF level of neurogranin, which is a postsynaptic marker, may signal a favorable postoperative outcome. […] Concentrations of a panel of ventricular CSF biomarkers explained only 6% of the variability in outcome. […] Evidence of amyloid or tau pathology did not affect the outcome. […] The multivariate regression model including the three markers GFAP, neurogranin and, T-tau showed a weak correlation to outcome, explaining only 6% of the variance. […] This finding implies that other mechanisms not accounted for here are the key determinants for prediction of outcome and that the pathophysiological phenomena of astrogliosis, synaptic dysfunction and subcortical neuronal degeneration, signaled by changes in biomarker concentrations, play a minor role in moderating shunt response in patients. […] We conclude that evidence of amyloid pathology should not exclude patients from iNPH investigation or shunting, a notion supported by others. […] The role of vascular risk factors in iNPH remains to be further investigated.
  • #21 Prediction of Surgical Outcomes in Normal Pressure Hydrocephalus by MR Elastography | American Journal of Neuroradiology
    http://www.ajnr.org/content/early/2024/01/25/ajnr.A8108
    Normal pressure hydrocephalus is a treatable cause of dementia associated with distinct mechanical property signatures in the brain as measured by MR elastography. […] We tested the hypothesis that summary measures of these mechanical signatures can be used to predict clinical outcomes. […] Both the 2D and 20D classifiers performed significantly better than chance for predicting clinical outcomes with estimated areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.66 and 0.77, respectively. […] MR elastography provides further insight into mechanical alterations in the normal pressure hydrocephalus brain and is a promising, noninvasive method for predicting surgical outcomes in patients with normal pressure hydrocephalus. […] Predicting the outcome of shunt surgery is a challenging task.
  • #22 Prediction of Surgical Outcomes in Normal Pressure Hydrocephalus by MR Elastography | American Journal of Neuroradiology
    http://www.ajnr.org/content/early/2024/01/25/ajnr.A8108
    The ability to predict negative outcomes is critical. […] In this study, we present a noninvasive machine learning approach based on MRE for predicting surgical outcomes in NPH that considers the spectrum of NPH imaging phenotypes and not just DESH. […] The 20D feature space improved predictions compared with the 2D feature space, indicating that a more detailed summary of the MRE result contains clinically useful information and merits further investigation. […] Pattern analysis based on MRE presents a promising method for improving diagnosis and prediction of shunt outcomes.
  • #23 Vascular risk profiles for predicting outcome and long-term mortality in patients with idiopathic normal pressure hydrocephalus: comparison of clinical decision support tools in: Journal of Neurosurgery Volume 138 Issue 2 (2022) Journals
    https://thejns.org/view/journals/j-neurosurg/138/2/article-p476.xml
    Vascular risk factors (VRFs) may act synergistically, and clinical decision support tools (CDSTs) have been developed that present vascular risk as a summarized score. Because VRFs are a major issue in patients with idiopathic normal pressure hydrocephalus (INPH), a CDST may be useful in the diagnostic workup. The objective was to compare 4 CDSTs to determine which one most accurately predicts short-term outcome and 10-year mortality after CSF shunt surgery in INPH patients. […] For 3 CDSTs, increased score was associated with increased risk of 10-year mortality. A 1-point increase in the FRS indicated a 2% higher risk of death within 10 years (HR 1.02, 95% CI 1.0031.035, p = 0.021); SCORE-OP, 5% (HR 1.05, 95% CI 1.0191.087, p = 0.002); and KCI, 12% (HR 1.12, 95% CI 1.031.219, p = 0.008). FRS predicted short-term outcome of surgery (p = 0.024). When the cutoff value was set to 32.5%, the positive predictive value was 80% and the negative predictive value was 48% (p = 0.012).
  • #24 Vascular risk profiles for predicting outcome and long-term mortality in patients with idiopathic normal pressure hydrocephalus: comparison of clinical decision support tools in: Journal of Neurosurgery Volume 138 Issue 2 (2022) Journals
    https://thejns.org/view/journals/j-neurosurg/138/2/article-p476.xml
    Vascular risk factors (VRFs) may act synergistically, and clinical decision support tools (CDSTs) have been developed that present vascular risk as a summarized score. Because VRFs are a major issue in patients with idiopathic normal pressure hydrocephalus (INPH), a CDST may be useful in the diagnostic workup. The objective was to compare 4 CDSTs to determine which one most accurately predicts short-term outcome and 10-year mortality after CSF shunt surgery in INPH patients. […] For 3 CDSTs, increased score was associated with increased risk of 10-year mortality. A 1-point increase in the FRS indicated a 2% higher risk of death within 10 years (HR 1.02, 95% CI 1.0031.035, p = 0.021); SCORE-OP, 5% (HR 1.05, 95% CI 1.0191.087, p = 0.002); and KCI, 12% (HR 1.12, 95% CI 1.031.219, p = 0.008). FRS predicted short-term outcome of surgery (p = 0.024). When the cutoff value was set to 32.5%, the positive predictive value was 80% and the negative predictive value was 48% (p = 0.012).
  • #25 Vascular risk profiles for predicting outcome and long-term mortality in patients with idiopathic normal pressure hydrocephalus: comparison of clinical decision support tools in: Journal of Neurosurgery Volume 138 Issue 2 (2022) Journals
    https://thejns.org/view/journals/j-neurosurg/138/2/article-p476.xml
    The authors recommend using FRS to predict short-term outcome and 10-year risk of mortality in INPH patients. The study indicated that extensive treatment of the risk factors of INPH may decrease risk of mortality. […] The results indicated that FRS was the best CDST for INPH patients because FRS predicted both death within 10 years and short-term outcome of CSF shunt surgery. The study indicated that extensive treatment of the risk factors of INPH may decrease risk of mortality; therefore, further research is needed to implement CDSTs in clinical settings and to develop a CDST customized for INPH patients. […] FRS appears to be the best CDST for predicting both short-term outcome and 10-year risk of mortality in INPH patients. FRS could be used to guide optimal treatment and preoperative evaluations of INPH patients. The result of this study indicated that risk of mortality may decrease in INPH patients if the focus is treatment of risk factors.
  • #26 Vascular risk profiles for predicting outcome and long-term mortality in patients with idiopathic normal pressure hydrocephalus: comparison of clinical decision support tools in: Journal of Neurosurgery Volume 138 Issue 2 (2022) Journals
    https://thejns.org/view/journals/j-neurosurg/138/2/article-p476.xml
    The authors recommend using FRS to predict short-term outcome and 10-year risk of mortality in INPH patients. The study indicated that extensive treatment of the risk factors of INPH may decrease risk of mortality. […] The results indicated that FRS was the best CDST for INPH patients because FRS predicted both death within 10 years and short-term outcome of CSF shunt surgery. The study indicated that extensive treatment of the risk factors of INPH may decrease risk of mortality; therefore, further research is needed to implement CDSTs in clinical settings and to develop a CDST customized for INPH patients. […] FRS appears to be the best CDST for predicting both short-term outcome and 10-year risk of mortality in INPH patients. FRS could be used to guide optimal treatment and preoperative evaluations of INPH patients. The result of this study indicated that risk of mortality may decrease in INPH patients if the focus is treatment of risk factors.
  • #27 Endoscopic third ventriculostomy for adults with hydrocephalus: creating a prognostic model for success: protocol for a retrospective multicentre study (Nordic ETV) | BMJ Open
    https://bmjopen.bmj.com/content/12/1/e055570
    Endoscopic third ventriculostomy (ETV) is becoming an increasingly widespread treatment for hydrocephalus, but research is primarily based on paediatric populations. […] The purpose of this study is to create a prognostic model to predict the success of ETV for adult patients with hydrocephalus. […] The ability to predict who will benefit from an ETV will allow better primary patient selection both for ETV and shunting. […] A success score specific for adults could also be used as a communication tool to provide better information and guidance to patients. […] The study is approved by appropriate ethics or patient safety boards in all participating countries. […] A prognostic scoring system for adult ETV can be created based on patient demographics, symptomatology, aetiology, shunt history and radiological findings.
  • #28 Thieme E-Journals – min – Minimally Invasive Neurosurgery / Abstract
    https://www.thieme-connect.com/products/ejournals/abstract/10.1055/s-2006-950382
    An important factor in making a recommendation for different treatment modalities in hydrocephalus patients (VP shunt versus endoscopic third ventriculostomy) is the definition of the underlying pathology which determines the prognosis/outcome of the surgical procedure. […] This standardised grading system predicts the outcome of 3rd VS and helps in decision making for 3rd VS versus VP shunting.
  • #29 Endoscopic third ventriculostomy for adults with hydrocephalus: creating a prognostic model for success: protocol for a retrospective multicentre study (Nordic ETV) | BMJ Open
    https://bmjopen.bmj.com/content/12/1/e055570
    Endoscopic third ventriculostomy (ETV) is becoming an increasingly widespread treatment for hydrocephalus, but research is primarily based on paediatric populations. […] The purpose of this study is to create a prognostic model to predict the success of ETV for adult patients with hydrocephalus. […] The ability to predict who will benefit from an ETV will allow better primary patient selection both for ETV and shunting. […] A success score specific for adults could also be used as a communication tool to provide better information and guidance to patients. […] The study is approved by appropriate ethics or patient safety boards in all participating countries. […] A prognostic scoring system for adult ETV can be created based on patient demographics, symptomatology, aetiology, shunt history and radiological findings.
  • #30 Endoscopic third ventriculostomy for adults with hydrocephalus: creating a prognostic model for success: protocol for a retrospective multicentre study (Nordic ETV) | BMJ Open
    https://bmjopen.bmj.com/content/12/1/e055570
    With ETV becoming an increasingly widespread treatment for adult hydrocephalus, there is a need for a new prognostic model specific for this patient population. […] The ability to predict who will benefit from an ETV will allow better primary patient selection both for ETV and shunting. […] Creating a prognostic model for adults based on a large population will improve the ability to predict the outcome of ETV and offer the appropriate treatment. […] The goal is to increase the benefit for patients and reduce the number of unnecessary procedures.
  • #31 Thieme E-Journals – min – Minimally Invasive Neurosurgery / Abstract
    https://www.thieme-connect.com/products/ejournals/abstract/10.1055/s-2006-950382
    An important factor in making a recommendation for different treatment modalities in hydrocephalus patients (VP shunt versus endoscopic third ventriculostomy) is the definition of the underlying pathology which determines the prognosis/outcome of the surgical procedure. […] This standardised grading system predicts the outcome of 3rd VS and helps in decision making for 3rd VS versus VP shunting.
  • #32 Improving Infant Hydrocephalus Outcomes in Uganda: A Longitudinal Prospective Study Protocol for Predicting Developmental Outcomes and Identifying Patients at Risk for Early Treatment Failure after ETV/CPC
    https://www.mdpi.com/2218-1989/12/1/78
    Infant hydrocephalus poses a severe global health burden; 80% of cases occur in the developing world where patients have limited access to neurosurgical care. […] Although treatment focuses on controlling ventricle size, this has little association with treatment failure or long-term outcome. […] Despite the known benefits of successful ETV/CPC treatment for infant hydrocephalus, treatment failure remains a significant problem for about one-third of cases, most of which occur within six months with little occurring thereafter. […] Therefore, diagnostics to detect early treatment failure, evaluate treatment response and likelihood of future failure, and stratify pre-treatment patients are urgent unmet medical needs for improving infant hydrocephalus outcomes. […] We will investigate associations of CBF and CMRO2 with long-term brain growth and neurodevelopmental outcomes, and also explore the utility of FDNIRS-DCS measures as new biomarkers to aid the prediction of treatment failure.
  • #33 Improving Infant Hydrocephalus Outcomes in Uganda: A Longitudinal Prospective Study Protocol for Predicting Developmental Outcomes and Identifying Patients at Risk for Early Treatment Failure after ETV/CPC
    https://www.mdpi.com/2218-1989/12/1/78
    The end point for this study’s treatment failure assessment is six months post-surgery, as the majority (pooled success rate of 63%, range 54–72%) of ETV failures occur before that time point. […] Surgical failure is defined as the need for any subsequent surgical procedure, including ETV revision, insertion of VPS, or shunt revision for definitive CSF diversion, as well as death related to hydrocephalus management within the first six months. […] We expect Z-scores for brain volume to be positively correlated with changes in CMRO2. However, since growth rates change rapidly in the first few months of life, regression coefficients are suspected to differ between baseline to six-month, six- to 12-month, and 12- to 24-month periods. […] This study is unique due to its complexity, involving multiple imaging modalities and a diverse research and clinical team.
  • #34
    https://journals.lww.com/neur/fulltext/2021/69002/applications_of_machine_learning_in_pediatric.21.aspx
    Fifteen studies that described the use of ML models in the diagnosis, treatment, and prognostication of pediatric hydrocephalus were identified. […] ML models were used in all aspects of HCP care and management, that is, diagnosis, evaluating the need for intervention, and for predicting the complications associated with CSF shunting procedures. […] Four studies evaluated the prognostic applications of ML in HCP. Here, ANN was the most commonly used algorithm. […] ANN (AUC = 0.71, specificity = 90%) outperformed the other models to predict CSF shunt failure in pediatric patients. […] ANN (AUC = 91.98%) superseded LR (AUC = 76.5%) in predicting shunt infection in children with ventriculoperitoneal shunt. […] Adaboost was the most accurate ML model (AUC = 75.42 8.41). […] ANN had the highest accuracy rate (93.797.6) for predicting a successful ETV outcome at 6 months.
  • #35
    https://journals.lww.com/neur/fulltext/2021/69002/applications_of_machine_learning_in_pediatric.21.aspx
    Fifteen studies that described the use of ML models in the diagnosis, treatment, and prognostication of pediatric hydrocephalus were identified. […] ML models were used in all aspects of HCP care and management, that is, diagnosis, evaluating the need for intervention, and for predicting the complications associated with CSF shunting procedures. […] Four studies evaluated the prognostic applications of ML in HCP. Here, ANN was the most commonly used algorithm. […] ANN (AUC = 0.71, specificity = 90%) outperformed the other models to predict CSF shunt failure in pediatric patients. […] ANN (AUC = 91.98%) superseded LR (AUC = 76.5%) in predicting shunt infection in children with ventriculoperitoneal shunt. […] Adaboost was the most accurate ML model (AUC = 75.42 8.41). […] ANN had the highest accuracy rate (93.797.6) for predicting a successful ETV outcome at 6 months.
  • #36
    https://journals.lww.com/neur/fulltext/2021/69002/applications_of_machine_learning_in_pediatric.21.aspx
    ML models can assess large quantities of clinical data and radiological images, determine complex relationships among these variables, and predict whether intervention is necessary at the current clinical stage. […] The rapid advancement of AI and ML in the medical field can lead to improved outcomes in not just hydrocephalus but neurosurgical care as a whole. […] This study attempts to outline and present the important achievements in this field and encourages clinicians to develop other similar models that can revolutionize the management of pediatric hydrocephalus.
  • #37 Azthena logo with the word Azthena
    https://www.news-medical.net/health/Hydrocephalus-Prognosis.aspx
    The mortality rate for hydrocephalus and associated therapy ranges from 0 to 3%. This rate is highly dependent on the duration of follow-up care. The shunt event-free survival is approximately 70% at 12 months and is nearly half that at 10 years, post-operatively. […] The triad of early detection, prompt treatment, and taking the necessary steps to avoid surgical site infections is the cornerstone to ensuring a great long-term outlook. It particularly helps in reducing the chances of developing clinically significant neurological damage. Failure to catch hydrocephalus on time and treat it accordingly may lead to long-term neurological deficits that require multidisciplinary medical teams to assist patients with developmental and lasting cognitive impairment. Neurological damage that may have occurred prior to treatment is unfortunately irreversible and can have a significant impact on functional social outcomes such as social integration, schooling, and marriage.
  • #38 Azthena logo with the word Azthena
    https://www.news-medical.net/health/Hydrocephalus-Prognosis.aspx
    The mortality rate for hydrocephalus and associated therapy ranges from 0 to 3%. This rate is highly dependent on the duration of follow-up care. The shunt event-free survival is approximately 70% at 12 months and is nearly half that at 10 years, post-operatively. […] The triad of early detection, prompt treatment, and taking the necessary steps to avoid surgical site infections is the cornerstone to ensuring a great long-term outlook. It particularly helps in reducing the chances of developing clinically significant neurological damage. Failure to catch hydrocephalus on time and treat it accordingly may lead to long-term neurological deficits that require multidisciplinary medical teams to assist patients with developmental and lasting cognitive impairment. Neurological damage that may have occurred prior to treatment is unfortunately irreversible and can have a significant impact on functional social outcomes such as social integration, schooling, and marriage.